Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov > Shamil Gaziev vs Don'Tale Mayes > Fight Analysis

Shamil Gaziev vs Don'Tale Mayes: UFC Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Shamil Gaziev vs Don'Tale Mayes: UFC Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Published

Mon Jul 29 2024

Last Updated

Mon Jul 29 2024

Shamil Gaziev vs Don'Tale Mayes: Heavyweight Clash in Abu Dhabi

Get ready for an electrifying showdown in the Heavyweight Division as Shamil Gaziev steps into the Octagon to face Don'Tale Mayes on the Preliminary Card of UFC Fight Night, scheduled for August 3, 2024. Hosted at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, this duel promises to deliver high-octane action that will keep fighting fans and bettors on the edge of their seats.

Fight Basics and Betting Tips

The fight begins at 4 PM local time, and if you’re betting on this bout, pay attention to the current odds. Gaziev, hailing from Bahrain, enters the Octagon as the favorite with odds ranging from -240 on BetOnline to -280 on FanDuel. On the other hand, the American Don'Tale Mayes is the underdog, with his odds fluctuating between +200 on BetUS and +210 on BetMGM. This disparity in betting odds lends intriguing possibilities for those looking to place informed wagers. Indeed, such probabilities make Gaziev vs. Mayes analysis all the more fascinating for UFC event predictions.

Fighter Stats and Background

Let's delve into the fighter stats to understand why this clash is garnering so much anticipation. Shamil Gaziev boasts a professional record of 12 wins, 1 loss, and no draws. With an impressive 8 victories by knockout and 3 via submission, he's known for his brutal efficiency in finishing fights early. Remarkably, 8 of his wins came in the first round, making Shamil a name to watch for those eyeing fast-paced action. His average fight time stands at a brisk 9 minutes and 31 seconds, further highlighting his aggressiveness inside the cage. Since making his UFC debut on December 16, 2023, Gaziev quickly captured attention, despite a setback against Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

In contrast, Don'Tale Mayes, who debuted back in August 2017, holds an 11-6-0 record. Known for his boxing prowess, Mayes has garnered 7 wins by knockout; however, he has not yet secured a victory via submission. Standing at a towering 6 feet 6 inches and weighing 276 pounds, Mayes will leverage his physicality and reach advantage—particularly his 81-inch arm reach. Significant Strike Accuracy sits at 43%, and with a Take Down Accuracy of 44%, he offers a well-rounded fighting style to counter Gaziev’s aggressive approach.

Recent Performance and Stakes

Recent performances from both fighters add layers of excitement to this matchup. Gaziev's last outings saw him clinch a victory against Martin Buday before suffering a TKO loss to the ferocious Jairzinho Rozenstruik. On the flip side, Mayes has had a turbulent run, with a notable KO win over veteran Andrei Arlovski juxtaposed against losses to Rodrigo Nascimento and Augusto Sakai. Each fighter is looking to solidify their standing in the division, and a win here could propel one closer to the top-tier ranks. This fight presents a critical juncture in their UFC careers, making every punch and takedown all the more consequential.

In sum, the Shamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale Mayes fight brings together a mix of raw power, strategic depth, and the lure of high stakes—elements that create a must-watch event for UFC aficionados and betting enthusiasts alike. By studying the technical abilities, psychological readiness, and betting odds of both fighters, you can make insightful UFC betting tips to ride the wave of this exhilarating clash in the Heavyweight Division.

For more on UFC analysis, UFC betting tips, and fight event predictions, stay tuned to comprehensive match previews right here at UFC Bet Companion!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Shamil Gaziev vs Don'Tale Mayes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov can be found on the Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov event page.

Fighter Profiles: Shamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale Mayes

Shamil Gaziev: Rising Star from Bahrain

Background

Shamil Gaziev is a force to be reckoned with in the Heavyweight Division. At 34 years old, Gaziev hails from the combat-rich region of Dagestan, Russia, but fights under the flag of Bahrain. He brings a versatile MMA fighting style to the Octagon, combining striking prowess with a competent ground game. Gaziev made his UFC debut recently on December 16, 2023, and has quickly made an impression with his aggressive approach and finishing abilities.

Recent Form

Gaziev holds a professional MMA record of 12 wins and 1 loss. Here’s a look at the outcomes of his last three fights:

  1. Win vs. Martin Buday - KO/TKO in Round 2 (Dec 16, 2023)
  2. Loss vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik - KO/TKO in Round 4 (Mar 2, 2024)
  3. Win vs. Martin Buday - KO/TKO in Round 2 (Dec 16, 2023)

His recent victory against Martin Buday showcased his striking capabilities, whereas the loss to Rozenstruik highlighted areas for improvement, especially against top-tier opponents.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Gaziev boasts an impressive 75% knockdown ratio with 8 wins by knockout. He also has a keen submission game with 3 wins, displaying his dexterity in both striking and grappling. One of his most compelling stats is his 100% takedown defense, making him a difficult target for opponents looking to take the fight to the ground.

However, areas of vulnerability remain. He has a striking defense percentage of just 43%, meaning he can be hit more often than he would probably like. Additionally, his takedown accuracy stands at a low 14%, suggesting some challenges in successfully securing takedowns.

Don'Tale Mayes: Boxing Heavyweight from the U.S.

Background

Don'Tale "Kong" Mayes is a 32-year-old American fighter from Louisville, Kentucky. Known for his boxing-centric style, Mayes stands tall at 6 feet 6 inches and tips the scales at 276 pounds. His physicality is a crucial part of his fighting approach, leveraging his 81-inch reach to maintain distance and land powerful strikes. He made his UFC debut on August 29, 2017.

Recent Form

Mayes holds a record of 11 wins, 6 losses, and no draws. Analyzing his recent fights:

  1. Loss vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira - Decision (Unanimous)
  2. Win vs. Andrei Arlovski - KO/TKO in Round 2
  3. Loss vs. Augusto Sakai - Decision (Unanimous)
  4. Win vs. Hamdy Abdelwahab - Decision (Split)
  5. Loss vs. Josh Parisian - KO/TKO in Round 3

Mayes has faced ups and downs recently, showcasing power with a KO win over Arlovski but also suffering painful losses, highlighting inconsistencies in his game.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Mayes’ strength lies in his knockout power, with 7 of his 11 wins coming via KO/TKO. His striking accuracy rate of 43% and takedown defense rate of 61% make him a formidable opponent in stand-up exchanges, particularly using his reach advantage.

But there are shortcomings as well. His significant strike defense is only 47%, revealing susceptibility to being hit. Furthermore, Mayes has zero wins by submission, indicating a lack of grappling finishers in his arsenal. His average fight time of 12 minutes and 18 seconds suggests he may be susceptible to wearing down in longer bouts, especially against relentless opponents like Gaziev.

Concluding Thoughts

Both fighters bring distinct styles and strengths to this matchup, making the Shamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale Mayes fight a fascinating clash of power and technique. Gaziev’s finishing prowess and takedown defense will be tested against Mayes' boxing skills and physical advantages. For those diving into UFC betting tips, examining each fighter’s profile and recent form will provide crucial insights to make well-informed wagers.

Shamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale Mayes: Betting Odds and History

Current Betting Odds

For those looking to dive into UFC betting, understanding the current odds for the Shamil Gaziev vs. Don'Tale Mayes fight is crucial. As it stands, Shamil Gaziev is the clear favorite, with odds that highlight his dominant form and recent performances. The most favorable odds for Gaziev can be found on FanDuel at -280, making him a heavy favorite. On the other hand, Don'Tale Mayes, the underdog, has his best odds at BetMGM and FanDuel, both offering a tempting +210.

Sportsbook Summary:

  • Shamil Gaziev's Odds:

    • FanDuel: -280
    • BetOnline: -240
    • Caesars: -250
    • DraftKings: -250
    • BetMGM: -275
    • LowVig.ag: -240
    • BetUS: -240
  • Don'Tale Mayes' Odds:

    • FanDuel: +210
    • BetOnline: +205
    • Caesars: +205
    • DraftKings: +205
    • BetMGM: +210
    • LowVig.ag: +205
    • BetUS: +200

These figures underscore Gaziev's perceived superiority, thereby influencing the UFC betting landscape. Betting on the underdog, Don'Tale Mayes, could yield higher returns, albeit with additional risk.

Sportsbook Updates and Trends

  • Most Consistent Updates: DraftKings and FanDuel have been the most reliable in updating their odds for this matchup, ensuring bettors have the latest information at their fingertips.
  • Most Volatile Changes: BetMGM has displayed volatility in their odds, reflecting significant fluctuations over the past week.

Betting Payouts and Probabilities

If you were to place a $1,000 bet on either fighter, here are the potential payouts:

  1. Shamil Gaziev (-280): Betting $1,000 on Gaziev at FanDuel with odds at -280 would yield a payout of approximately $1,357.14, translating to a profit of $357.14. Gaziev’s dominant odds suggest a strong probability of victory, making him a safer bet in traditional terms.
  2. Don'Tale Mayes (+210): Placing $1,000 on Mayes at BetMGM or FanDuel with odds of +210 offers a potential payout of $3,100, providing a profit of $2,100. As the underdog, Mayes offers higher returns but comes with increased risk—a more appealing option for those willing to gamble on an upset.

Probability Insights:

Based on the current odds:

  • Shamil Gaziev's odds of -280 imply a roughly 73.7% chance of winning.
  • Don'Tale Mayes, with odds of +210, carries about a 32.3% chance of clinching the win.

Where to Bet

For those leaning towards Gaziev, FanDuel offers the most consistent lowest odds. Conversely, if you're eyeing Mayes for an upset win, BetMGM and FanDuel provide the most lucrative returns at +210. These sportsbooks have shown stability and have frequently updated odds, providing bettors with timely and accurate information.

Final Take

Understanding the odds and their history is critical in making informed UFC betting tips and picking your favorites for fight night. Whether you’re backing the favorite Gaziev or rolling the dice on the underdog Mayes, knowing where to place your bets and the potential returns can significantly impact your wagering experience. This fight promises not just excitement in the Octagon, but in your betting strategies as well. Happy betting, fight fans!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez