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Casey O'Neill vs Luana Santos: Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Casey O'Neill vs Luana Santos: Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Published

Tue Aug 13 2024

Last Updated

Tue Aug 13 2024

Casey O'Neill vs. Luana Santos: The Ultimate Showdown at UFC 305

Ladies and gentlemen, get ready for an electrifying night of mixed martial arts action as Casey O'Neill collides with Luana Santos in a high-stakes bout set to take place at UFC 305. Mark your calendars for August 18, 2024, because RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia, will be the battleground where these two women's flyweights go toe-to-toe on the Preliminary Card. With both fighters bringing their unique skill sets and impressive records into the cage, this matchup promises to be one for the books.

Casey O'Neill, hailing from Australia, enters the octagon with a formidable record of 9-2-0. Known for her versatility and MMA-centric fighting style, O'Neill is currently ranked #14 in the Women's Flyweight Division. At 26 years old, she stands 66 inches tall and matches her opponent in weight at 125 pounds. O'Neill's arm reach extends to 69 inches, offering a slight advantage in striking distance. With three wins by knockout and two by submission, she has proven her ability to finish fights. Notably, her significant strike accuracy sits at an impressive 55%, while her takedown defense is equally strong at 67%.

On the other side of the octagon, Luana Santos from Brazil boasts a record of 8-1-0. Despite being slightly younger at 24, Santos brings a specialization in Judo to her fights, which contributes to her stellar 60% takedown accuracy. Standing at 66 inches with a 67-inch arm reach, she matches O'Neill physically in almost every aspect. However, Santos edges ahead in submissions with four wins coming by way of submission, showcasing her grappling superiority. Like O'Neill, her significant strike accuracy also stands at 55%, but she excels in strike defense at 65%.

The betting odds reflect the competitive nature of this matchup. As of now, Santos is slightly favored across multiple sportsbooks, including BetMGM and DraftKings, with odds hovering around -175 to -160. Bettors eyeing an underdog victory may look towards O'Neill, whose odds range from +145 to +136, presenting a lucrative opportunity for those willing to take the risk.

This clash isn't just about numbers; it's about the narratives and the momentum each fighter brings into the octagon. Santos is riding high with back-to-back impressive wins, including a first-round submission victory over Mariya Agapova and a knockout win against Juliana Miller. Conversely, O'Neill is looking to build on her recent submission win against da Silva, eager to re-establish her dominance in the division following a setback loss to Jennifer Maia earlier in the year.

With both fighters exhibiting high-level grappling, dynamic striking, and the hunger to climb the flyweight ranks, this bout has all the ingredients for an explosive encounter. UFC fans and bettors alike will want to tune in and keep an eye on this bout for some exciting action and potential upsets. Whether you're looking for UFC event predictions or UFC betting tips, the O'Neill vs. Santos matchup offers plenty of intrigue and wagering possibilities. Stay tuned for this epic showdown!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Casey O'Neill vs Luana Santos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Du Plessis vs Adesanya can be found on the Du Plessis vs Adesanya event page.

Fighter Profiles and Recent Form: Casey O'Neill vs. Luana Santos

Casey O'Neill: The Aussie Powerhouse

Casey O'Neill, a 26-year-old fighter from Australia, has steadily climbed the ranks to secure her #14 position in the Women's Flyweight Division. Born in Irvine, Scotland, O'Neill later relocated to Australia, where she has cultivated a versatile MMA fighting style. With a height of 66 inches and weighing in at 125 pounds, she utilizes her impressive 69-inch arm reach to her advantage in striking exchanges.

Recent Form:

  • Win against da Silva (Submission) - December 16, 2023
  • Loss to Jennifer Maia (Decision - Unanimous) - March 18, 2023
  • Win against Roxanne Modafferi (Decision - Split) - February 12, 2022

O'Neill boasts a professional record of 9-2-0. Her recent victory over da Silva via submission in the second round highlights her grappling prowess. However, her unanimous decision loss to Jennifer Maia earlier in the year exposed areas for improvement, particularly in maintaining consistent defense against high-level strikers. Despite a mix of results, O'Neill remains a formidable competitor, demonstrated by her split-decision win over Roxanne Modafferi.

Strengths:

  • Versatility: O'Neill is adept in both striking and grappling, making her unpredictable.
  • Significant Strike Accuracy: At 55%, this stat shows O'Neill's precision in landing telling blows.
  • Takedown Defense: Matching at 67%, O'Neill demonstrates strong defensive grappling skills.

Weaknesses:

  • Take Down Accuracy: Although strong defensively, her offensive takedown accuracy sits at a lower 38%, indicating room for improvement.
  • Fight Duration: With an average fight time of 11:17, O'Neill tends to go the distance, which could be tiring under heavy pressure.

Luana Santos: The Brazilian Judo Specialist

Luana Santos, a 24-year-old martial artist from Brazil, is notable for her Judo expertise, which adds a unique flair to her grappling game. Standing at 66 inches with a weight of 125 pounds and a 67-inch arm reach, Santos mirrors O'Neill in physical stats but brings a specialized skill set to the octagon.

Recent Form:

  • Win against Mariya Agapova (Submission) - July 13, 2024
  • Win against Juliana Miller (KO/TKO) - August 12, 2023
  • Loss to Stephanie Egger (Decision - Unanimous) - December 9, 2023

Santos holds an 8-1-0 record, with her most recent submission win over Mariya Agapova showcasing her grappling dominance. Previously, she thrilled fans with a first-round knockout against Juliana Miller. Although her unanimous decision loss to Stephanie Egger revealed vulnerabilities in prolonged exchanges, Santos remains a potent threat in the division.

Strengths:

  • Grappling: With a 60% takedown accuracy and four submission wins, Santos excels on the ground.
  • Strike Defense: At 65%, Santos effectively nullifies her opponents' striking attacks.
  • First-Round Finishes: Santos has quickly dispatched foes, with four fights ending in the opening round.

Weaknesses:

  • Striking Volume: Santos has no wins by knockout, suggesting lesser punching power.
  • Fight Management: Her unanimous decision loss indicates potential struggles in sustaining performance over multiple rounds.

Summary

Both Casey O'Neill and Luana Santos present compelling cases for victory in this UFC 305 Preliminary Card bout. O'Neill's versatility and defensive capabilities could negate Santos' ground game, while Santos' grappling excellence and defensive acumen make her a formidable adversary. Bettors and fight fans should closely analyze these profiles and recent forms when making UFC event predictions and utilizing UFC betting tips to wager on this exciting matchup. Stay informed, stay engaged, and don't miss out on this thrilling fight!

Betting Odds and History: Casey O'Neill vs. Luana Santos

Alright, folks, let’s dive into the nitty-gritty of the betting odds for this exhilarating clash between Casey O'Neill and Luana Santos. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or someone looking to place their first wager, understanding the odds can give you that all-important edge.

Current Betting Odds

As of the latest updates, Luana Santos is currently the favorite across multiple sportsbooks. Here’s how different platforms have positioned their odds:

  • BetMGM: Santos at -175, O'Neill at +145
  • DraftKings: Santos at -162, O'Neill at +136
  • Bovada: Santos at -165, O'Neill at +140
  • FanDuel: Santos at -184, O'Neill at +142
  • BetRivers: Santos at -180, O'Neill at +143

If you’re looking to place a bet on the underdog, Casey O'Neill, the best value is at BetMGM where a $1,000 bet would yield a payout of $2,450 if she wins (your $1,000 stake plus $1,450 profit). On the flip side, betting on the favorite, Luana Santos, with $1,000 at the same sportsbook gives a payout of $1,571.43 (your $1,000 stake plus $571.43 profit).

Sportsbook Insights

DraftKings and BetRivers appear to have had the most activity and updates on their odds. Over the past few weeks, DraftKings has fluctuated significantly, ranging from -148 to -185 for Santos, often reacting swiftly to bettor sentiment.

For those who like to keep a close eye on shifting odds, DraftKings presents the most dynamic changes, while platforms like FanDuel and BetMGM have been relatively stable in their updates.

Probability Insights

The current odds suggest that Santos is the favorite with an implied probability ranging between 63.5% to 64.8%. On the other hand, O'Neill, being the underdog, has an implied probability of around 41.7% to 42.4%. These probabilities reflect not just the bookmakers’ analysis but also the betting public’s sentiment.

Betting Strategy

Given the odds, betting on the underdog (O'Neill) could be a lucrative choice if you're feeling confident in her ability to secure a win. Her versatility and recent form suggest she could certainly pull off an upset. Conversely, backing Santos could be a safer bet considering her current momentum and dominant betting position.

If you had to put down $1,000, here’s a quick look at potential payouts:

  • Casey O'Neill

    • BetMGM: Payout of $2,450
    • DraftKings: Payout of $2,360
    • Bovada: Payout of $2,400
  • Luana Santos

    • BetMGM: Payout of $1,571.43
    • DraftKings: Payout of $1,617.28
    • Bovada: Payout of $1,606.06

The Best Sportsbook to Bet On

For the best value, if you're backing Casey O'Neill, BetMGM offers the highest potential return with odds of +145. Conversely, if you're betting on Luana Santos, DraftKings currently offers appealing odds at -162, maximizing your possible profit.

With multiple sportsbooks providing close yet varying odds, it’s worthwhile shopping around. Whether you’re looking for sportsbook recommendations or deeper insights into UFC betting tips, these odds position the O'Neill vs. Santos fight as a high-stakes, dynamic betting opportunity. Get your bets in, and may the odds be ever in your favor!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez