Winner: Da'Mon Blackshear
Confidence Score: 63Da'Mon Blackshear is the younger fighter at age 30 versus Davey Grant's 39, which is a significant factor in bantamweight where age-related decline is more pronounced. Blackshear has a notable reach advantage (72" arm reach vs 69" for Grant) and is in his athletic prime. He has a strong grappling pedigree with 11 submission wins and a solid takedown defense rate (71%), which will help neutralize Grant's submission threats. Recent form also favors Blackshear, who has won three of his last four, including two submissions over respected opponents. Grant's striking defense is slightly better, but his takedown defense (61%) is below average for this weight class, making him susceptible to Blackshear's wrestling and grappling. Historically, fighters with youth, reach, and grappling edges in similar matchups have won at a higher rate. While Grant is dangerous and experienced, the stylistic and statistical edges point toward Blackshear.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Whittaker vs de Ridder can be found on the Whittaker vs de Ridder event page.