Winner: Sean O Malley
Confidence Score: 80Sean O'Malley holds significant advantages in striking volume, accuracy, and physical attributes. He lands at a 61% significant strike accuracy (compared to Zahabi's 48%), and his reach (72" arm, 40" leg) is notably longer than Zahabi's (68.5" arm, 38" leg), which historically correlates with higher win rates at bantamweight. O'Malley's knockout power (12 KOs, 9 first-round finishes) and his ability to control distance are key against an older opponent (Zahabi is 38, O'Malley is 31), as age is a strong negative predictor in high-level bantamweight bouts. While Zahabi is on an impressive win streak and has excellent strike defense (69%) and takedown defense (84%), his offensive output and finishing rate have declined with age, and he has a low takedown accuracy (14%). O'Malley's 43% takedown accuracy and 61% defense suggest Zahabi will have difficulty exploiting grappling. Historically, fighters with O'Malley's profile—youth, reach, striking accuracy, and finishing ability—win the majority of similar matchups, especially when facing older, lower-output opponents. Recent form and ranking momentum also strongly favor O'Malley.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for UFC Freedom 250 can be found on the UFC Freedom 250 event page.
