Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes: UFC Fight Night Breakdown

Ladies and Gentlemen, UFC betting enthusiasts, and fight aficionados—mark your calendars for June 15, 2024, because an electrifying showdown is set to ignite the octagon at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. In the Women's Flyweight Division, we have a compelling matchup: Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes. With the fight kicking off at 8:00 PM (20:00) local time, this preliminary card bout has all the makings of a must-see event.

First things first, if you're setting your sights on some UFC event predictions and UFC betting tips, you ought to note the betting odds lean heavily towards the Brazilian striker, Gabriella Fernandes. Fernandes, boasting a record of 8-3-0, is positioned as the favorite with odds ranging from -250 to -265 across prominent bookmakers like Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. In contrast, the American newcomer Carli Judice stands as the underdog with odds of +200 to +220.

Let’s delve into what makes this fight particularly intriguing. Gabriella Fernandes, coming from São Gonçalo, Brazil, has experience and a defined fighting style—she’s a striker with a respectable notable significant strike accuracy of 48%. That’s nearly half of her attempts hitting their marks! Fernandes also has 3 wins by knockout and 2 by submission, making her a versatile threat. Despite suffering back-to-back losses by unanimous decision to Jasmine Jasudavicius and Tereza Bleda, she’s aiming to get back on the winning track, and this fight is a pivotal moment for her UFC career.

On the other hand, Carli Judice is a fresh face with a blank slate in the UFC. With zero fights under her belt in the octagon, she’s the dark horse in this matchup. There’s no established record for Judice, which makes her an unpredictable adversary. This element of surprise could either work in her favor or play into the hands of the more experienced Fernandes.

For bettors, this card is a goldmine of opportunity. Gabriella Fernandes' consistency makes her a relatively safe bet, given her significant fight statistics. Yet, there's an allure to Judice's underdog status. Could she pull off an upset in her UFC debut? For those speculative UFC event predictions, look no further than this bout, as it encapsulates the unpredictable nature of MMA.

Both fighters have unique trajectories; Fernandes is seeking redemption and to cement her status, while Judice is looking to make a strong first impression. For the fans, this is more than just a fight—it’s an intricate dance of skill, strategy, and sheer willpower. Whether you’re looking to balance the odds or simply revel in the sheer spectacle that is a UFC fight night, Carli Judice versus Gabriella Fernandes is the clash to watch.

So, don your fight caps, place your bets, and get ready for a night where every punch, kick, and takedown counts. Don't miss out on the excitement—this bout is a cornerstone event that promises to set the stage on fire!

For more detailed UFC betting tips and in-depth Fighter A vs. Fighter B analysis, stay tuned as we delve deeper into what makes these fighters tick and how they match up against each other.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Perez vs Taira can be found on the Perez vs Taira event page.

Fighter Profiles: Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes

Gabriella Fernandes: The Brazilian Striker

First up, let’s dive into the profile of Gabriella Fernandes. Hailing from São Gonçalo, Brazil, Gabriella is a 29-year-old fighter with a knack for striking. Standing 5'6" tall and weighing 126 lbs, she leverages her height and 66-inch arm reach to dominate in the stand-up game. Gabriella’s fighting style is primarily striking, an element that adds excitement and unpredictability to her bouts.

Gabriella made her UFC debut on February 25, 2023. Since then, she has experienced mixed outcomes. Over her last two fights, Gabriella has faced defeat, suffering back-to-back losses by unanimous decision. In her last fight, she battled Tereza Bleda on June 17, 2023, but was unable to secure a victory. Similarly, before that, she lost to Jasmine Jasudavicius on February 25, 2023.

Despite these setbacks, Gabriella Fernandes' strengths lie in her significant striking accuracy of 48% and the versatility of wins by knockout (3) and submission (2). Her experience and ability to mix it up in the octagon make her a formidable opponent. However, one glaring weakness in her game is her complete lack of completed takedowns, with a 0% takedown accuracy rate. This deficiency gives ground specialists an opening to exploit. Additionally, her takedown defense rate stands at 61%, which isn't necessarily poor but leaves room for improvement, especially if she faces a proficient grappler.

Carli Judice: The American Wildcard

On the flip side, we have Carli Judice from the United States. Carli is stepping into the octagon for the first time under the UFC banner, making her an intriguing underdog in this bout. The absence of past UFC fight data means she is somewhat of a wildcard, bringing an element of surprise to this matchup.

Little information is currently available about Carli’s physical stats, fighting style, or previous fight experience. This ambiguity could either be a strategic advantage or a major drawback. With no established record in the UFC, Judice's strengths and weaknesses remain a mystery, both to spectators and, crucially, to her opponent Gabriella Fernandes.

Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis

Gabriella Fernandes:

• Strengths:
  • Striking Accuracy: With a significant strike accuracy of 48%, Gabriella can deliver precise and impactful blows.
  • Versatility in Finishes: Multiple wins via knockout (3) and submission (2) show her capacity to adapt and finish fights in various ways.
  • Experience: Despite two losses, having fought multiple times in the UFC adds to her resiliency and experience.
• Weaknesses:
  • Takedown Game: A glaring 0% takedown accuracy suggests a potential vulnerability against wrestlers and grapplers.
  • Takedown Defense: With a takedown defense percentage of 61%, Gabriella can be susceptible to fighters who manage to close the distance and grapple.

Carli Judice:

• Strengths:
  • Unpredictability: With no previous record or data available, Carli enters the fight as an unknown force, which can be unsettling for opponents.
• Weaknesses:
  • Inexperience: Debuting in the UFC could be overwhelming, and the lack of top-level fight exposure might lead to jitters or miscalculations.
  • Lack of Data: The absence of measurable fight stats adds to the uncertainty about her skill set and adaptability in various fight situations.

In summary, the fight between Carli Judice and Gabriella Fernandes promises an enthralling clash of experience against the unknown. For Gabriella, leveraging her striking and looking to keep the fight standing will be critical, while Carli might want to explore any potential vulnerabilities in Fernandes' ground game. Stay tuned for more UFC betting tips and detailed fight analyses as we approach this highly anticipated bout.

Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes: Betting Odds and History

Alright, fight fans and bettors, it’s time to dissect the betting odds for the highly anticipated Carli Judice vs Gabriella Fernandes clash. This is where the rubber meets the road for those looking to back their hunches with cold, hard cash.

Current Betting Odds: Who's the Favorite?

As of now, Gabriella Fernandes is the clear favorite, with odds to win coming in at around -260 across multiple sportsbooks. You can find her listed at -260 on Caesars, BetOnline.ag, BetUS, and LowVig.ag. FanDuel and BetRivers both have her at -265, making these the steepest lines for Fernandes. On the flip side, Carli Judice is the marked underdog with odds of +210 to +220. FanDuel offers her at +200, while BetRivers and DraftKings list her at +205. The best odds for Judice can be found on BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag, which currently peg her at +220.

Betting Odds History: Dynamic Shifts

The history of these odds provides some intriguing insights. BetOnline.ag appears to be one of the most dynamic in adjusting their lines. For instance, most recently, odds for Gabriella Fernandes on BetOnline.ag shifted from -235 on May 26, to -260 on June 2. Similarly, odds for Carli Judice moved from +200 on May 26, up to +220 by June 2. DraftKings also made notable adjustments, with Fernandes’ odds moving from -238 to -250, and Judice from +195 to +205 over the same timeframe.

If you’re wondering where to place your bet, current trends suggest BetOnline.ag offers the highest variability, potentially presenting the best opportunities for favorable odds as the fight approaches.

How Much Can You Win?

Let’s talk payouts. If you put down a $1,000 bet on Gabriella Fernandes at odds of -260:

• You'd win approximately $384.62 (Your $1,000 wager would total $1,384.62 with the initial stake included).

On the other hand, a $1,000 bet on Carli Judice at odds of +220:

• You would win a whopping $2,200 (Your $1,000 wager would yield $3,200 with the original stake included).

Probability Insight

For those looking to weigh the probabilities, let's crunch some implied figures. At -260, Gabriella Fernandes is given a 72.2% chance of winning, while Carli Judice’s +220 underdog status reflects an 31.2% implied probability. Remember, these odds encapsulate both fighters' recent form, experience, and all other quantifiable metrics.

Which Sportsbook to Bet On?

To maximize the return on your bets, consider the odds history. BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag have shown more frequent adjustments in their lines, potentially offering the best opportunities as fight night approaches. Additionally, if you're backing the favorite, Gabriella Fernandes, Caesars and DraftKings are featuring competitive odds on her win. For the underdog bet, Carli Judice, BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag once again come through as top picks.

Final Thoughts

With the betting world abuzz, it's clear that Gabriella Fernandes carries the weight of expectations, while Carli Judice stands as a potential sleeper pick. The significant shift in odds provides a window into how sportsbooks view the fighters' preparations and previous performances. For those putting down a substantial wager, the dynamic odds landscape suggests staying updated right until the fight could be crucial in securing the best line.

Whether you're a seasoned bettor or a UFC fan looking to dip your toes into the thrilling world of sports betting, this matchup provides a prime opportunity to align your insights with potentially lucrative outcomes. Follow your instincts but keep an eye on the odds as they evolve closer to the event. Dive deep into more UFC betting tips and stay tuned for further Fighter A vs. Fighter B analysis to make an informed decision.