Robert Whittaker vs Ikram Aliskerov: UFC Fight Analysis and Predictions

Fight fans and bettors, hold on to your seats! The highly-anticipated clash between Robert Whittaker and Ikram Aliskerov promises to be an electrifying encounter that's sure to keep everyone on the edge of their seats. This middleweight bout is set to ignite the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on June 22, 2024, as part of the main card of this thrilling UFC event. Mark your calendars and set your alarms because you won't want to miss a second of this high-stakes battle.

Robert "The Reaper" Whittaker enters the Octagon with a seasoned resume. Ranked #3 in the middleweight division, Whittaker boasts an impressive record of 26 wins, 7 losses, and 0 draws. Known for his explosive power and precision, this Australian fighter has racked up 10 knockout victories and 5 submissions. However, don't overlook his tactical side. Whittaker's significant strike accuracy stands at 43%, and his defence is rock-solid with a significant strike defence rate of 60% plus a stellar takedown defence of 83%. The betting odds mirror his seasoned prowess, with Whittaker coming in as the favorite at odds of -146 on FanDuel and -140 at BetMGM.

On the flip side, Russia's own Ikram Aliskerov is looking to upset the odds. This rising star might not have the ranking that Whittaker boasts, but don't let that fool you. With a jaw-dropping record of 15 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws, Aliskerov has shown he can end fights quickly. With 6 knockouts and 5 submissions under his belt, he is just as dangerous standing up as he is on the ground. Notably, Aliskerov often finishes fights in the first round, averaging a fight time of only 2 minutes and 9 seconds—impressive stat for anyone considering UFC betting tips. He walks into this bout as the underdog with odds of +114 on DraftKings and a generous +120 on BetOnline.ag.

The tale of the tape for this intriguing matchup also highlights the fighters' physical statistics and fighting styles. Standing at 72 inches, both fighters will have an equal height advantage, but Aliskerov edges out slightly in arm reach with 76 inches compared to Whittaker’s 73.5 inches. As for leg reach, Whittaker takes the cake with 43 inches, while Aliskerov's stands at 40 inches. The stylistic contrast is unmistakable: Whittaker’s Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu versus Aliskerov’s Sambo. The fight history adds another layer of suspense—Aliskerov’s most recent bout ended in a loss via KO/TKO against Alves, while Whittaker's seasoned performance record shows many ups and downs over the last decade.

As the countdown to fight night begins, pundits and bettors alike must weigh these stats carefully. Will Whittaker’s experience and tactical defense outsmart the raw power and speed of Aliskerov? The odds and stats offer much to consider for those making their UFC event predictions. Stay tuned as we delve deeper into this exciting matchup, breaking down the technical aspects and providing expert insights on how this fight could unfold. Whether you're a die-hard fight fan or astute bettor seeking the best UFC betting tips, this fight promises drama, action, and no shortage of surprises.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Robert Whittaker vs Ikram Aliskerov can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Whittaker vs Aliskerov can be found on the Whittaker vs Aliskerov event page.

Fighter Profiles: Robert Whittaker vs Ikram Aliskerov

Robert Whittaker: The Reaper’s Reign

Hailing from Otahuhu, Australia, Robert Whittaker is no stranger to the Octagon. At 33 years old, this seasoned fighter is ranked #3 in the middleweight division and has been a force to be reckoned with since his UFC debut in December 2012. Whittaker's fighting style is rooted in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, a testament to his versatile skill set. He stands at 72 inches with an arm reach of 73.5 inches and a leg reach of 43 inches.

Recent Form

• Loss to Dricus Du Plessis (KO/TKO) - July 2023
• Win over Marvin Vettori (Decision - Unanimous) - September 2022
• Loss to Israel Adesanya (Decision - Unanimous) - February 2022

Whittaker's recent form has been a mix of highs and lows. His most recent defeat came by way of a knockout loss to Dricus Du Plessis. However, his unanimous decision win over Marvin Vettori highlighted his resilience and tactical prowess.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Whittaker's stats reveal a fighter who is both tenacious and technically proficient. His 43% significant strike accuracy showcases his ability to land crucial blows, while his 60% significant strike defense indicates a robust capability to avoid damage. One of Whittaker's key strengths is his takedown defense, standing impressively at 83%. On the flip side, his striking accuracy could benefit from a bit more crispness, especially against an aggressive opponent like Aliskerov. Additionally, the average fight time of 14 minutes and 7 seconds may suggest that Whittaker tends to engage in gruelling battles, potentially wearing him down against a quick finisher.

Ikram Aliskerov: The Rising Star from Russia

Ikram Aliskerov, born in Makhachkala, Russia, is a promising talent in the UFC middleweight division. At 30 years old, this fighter has quickly made a name for himself since his debut in May 2023. Aliskerov's fighting style is primarily Sambo, aligning with his Russian heritage. He shares Whittaker's height of 72 inches but boasts a slightly longer arm reach at 76 inches and a leg reach of 40 inches.

Recent Form

• Loss to Warlley Alves (KO/TKO) - October 2023
• Win over Phillip Hawes (KO/TKO) - May 2023
• Win over Mario Junior (Submission) - February 2023

Aliskerov’s recent fights show a promising career trajectory. Despite a setback via knockout against Warlley Alves, he scored a dominant KO victory against Phillip Hawes and a slick submission win over Mario Junior, proving his versatility.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Aliskerov's stats highlight his fierce finishing ability, with 6 knockouts and 5 submissions to his name. His 65% significant strike accuracy is particularly notable, suggesting a keen eye for landing impactful shots. However, his 37% significant strike defense indicates an area of vulnerability, as he tends to absorb more strikes. Additionally, Aliskerov's takedown defense stands at a concerning 0%, implying susceptibility to grappling-heavy opponents. Yet, his knack for quick finishes—averaging a fight time of just 2 minutes and 9 seconds—demonstrates a proclivity for overwhelming opponents early.

Conclusion

Both fighters bring unique attributes to this clash. Whittaker's resilience and high-level fight IQ face off against Aliskerov's raw power and finishing prowess. Fans and bettors should keep an eye on Whittaker's experience and tactical defense against Aliskerov's early aggression and striking accuracy. This fight is a classic case of veteran savvy versus rising potential, making for an intriguing bout with plenty of UFC betting tips to consider. Stay tuned as we delve deeper into this electrifying showdown.

Betting Odds and History: Whittaker vs Aliskerov Analysis

When it comes to Robert Whittaker vs Ikram Aliskerov, the betting odds offer a fascinating glimpse into how the bookmakers are sizing up this thrilling middleweight battle. As the favorite, Robert Whittaker is carrying the shorter odds, while Ikram Aliskerov steps into the Octagon as the underdog. For fans and bettors keen on making informed decisions, understanding these odds and their history is crucial.

Current Betting Odds

• Robert Whittaker (Favorite)

  • FanDuel: -146
  • BetMGM: -140
  • BetRivers: -132
  • Bovada: -130
  • BetUS: -140
  • Caesars: -130
  • DraftKings: -135
  • BetOnline.ag: -140
  • LowVig.ag: -140

• Ikram Aliskerov (Underdog)

  • FanDuel: +114
  • BetMGM: +115
  • BetRivers: +107
  • Bovada: +110
  • BetUS: +110
  • Caesars: +110
  • DraftKings: +114
  • BetOnline.ag: +120
  • LowVig.ag: +120

Odds Analysis: Whittaker as the Favorite

Robert Whittaker's position as the favorite means that if you were to bet $1000 on Whittaker at the best odds available (-130 at Bovada or Caesars), you would stand to win approximately $769.23, bringing your total payout to $1769.23. These odds suggest that bookmakers see Whittaker as the more likely victor, thanks, in part, to his extensive fight history and tactical prowess.

Odds Analysis: Aliskerov as the Underdog

Ikram Aliskerov, coming in as the underdog, offers some intriguing returns. With the highest odds at +120 available at BetOnline.ag, a $1000 bet would yield a profit of $1200, totaling a payout of $2200. The underdog status reflects Aliskerov's relatively shorter UFC resume and recent loss but also presents a lucrative opportunity for bettors who believe in his knockout power and quick finishes.

Which Sportsbook to Bet On?

For bettors looking to maximize their returns, BetOnline.ag emerges as the sportsbook with the highest odds for betting on Aliskerov at +120. Meanwhile, Bovada and Caesars offer the best value for Whittaker fans with odds at -130. Notably, sportsbooks like BetMGM and FanDuel update their odds more frequently, reflecting changes in betting activity and potential injuries or news leading up to the fight.

Odds History: Who Changed the Most?

When examining the odds history, FanDuel and BetMGM have shown the most movement, adjusting odds based on both fighter's recent form and betting patterns. For instance, BetMGM had Aliskerov's odds fluctuating between +105 to +125, reflecting the dynamic betting landscape. On the other hand, sportsbook stability is notable with DraftKings, consistently showing fewer fluctuations and steadier odds.

Probabilities and Payouts

Based on the current odds, Whittaker’s implied probability of winning ranges around 57-60%, whereas Aliskerov’s implied win probability hovers between 45-47%. For bettors weighing these statistics, Whittaker’s experience and strategic edge offer a safer bet, albeit with lower returns. For those willing to take a calculated risk, Aliskerov’s odds as the underdog present a tantalizing chance for a higher payout.

Bettors should always consider multiple sportsbooks to ensure they get the best value for their wager. Additionally, staying updated with the latest odds as fight night approaches can offer new opportunities for strategic bets. Robert Whittaker vs Ikram Aliskerov is shaping up to be a captivating fight, not just for the action inside the cage but also for the betting dynamics outside of it. Get your UFC event predictions in, and may the smartest bet win!