Winner: Geoff Neal
Confidence Score: 75Geoff Neal holds several advantages in this matchup against Rafael Dos Anjos.
Firstly, Neal is ranked #10 in the welterweight division compared to Dos Anjos’ #14 ranking, suggesting a higher level of recent competitive success. Neal's records, with 9 knockouts, highlight his formidable striking power, which is significant when considering Dos Anjos' recent performance and TKO loss to Rafael Fiziev in July 2022.
Moreover, Neal has a superior significant strike accuracy rate of 51% compared to Dos Anjos’ 47%, indicating better precision in exchanges. Neal also has a higher takedown defense at 88% compared to Dos Anjos’ 55%, suggesting that Neal is more equipped defensively against Dos Anjos' grappling, which is a key part of Dos Anjos' fighting style. Neal's reach advantage with an arm reach of 75 inches compared to Dos Anjos' 70 inches will allow Neal to effectively keep the fight at a striking distance, optimizing his striking capabilities.
Additionally, Dos Anjos is 39 years old and has shown signs of slowing down in recent fights, with his last two performances resulting in losses. In contrast, Neal is younger at 34 and still seemingly within his athletic prime, which may play a crucial role in a high-paced encounter.
Overall, Geoff Neal's striking prowess, reach advantage, and superior takedown defense give him a clearer path to victory in this matchup.
Live odds
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