Moicano vs Saint Denis > Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano > Fight Analysis

Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano: Fight Analysis & Predictions

Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano: Fight Analysis & Predictions

Published

Wed Sep 18 2024

Last Updated

Wed Sep 18 2024

Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano: UFC Event Prediction

Hold on to your seats, fight fans and UFC bettors! As the anticipation builds and the buzz around the UFC Fight Night grows louder, one matchup is grabbing our attention: Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano. Scheduled for September 28, 2024, at the fabled Accor Arena in Paris, France, this showdown is every fight purist's dream. Both these flyweights are entering the octagon with everything to gain and absolutely nothing to lose.

First off, let's talk business—betting odds. The sportsbooks have been buzzing with differing opinions, but the consensus is that Daniel Barez is the marginal favorite. According to BetUS, Barez stands at -140, while Altamirano trails slightly as the underdog with odds around +116 on BetOnline.ag. As seasoned bettors know, these odds present intriguing opportunities for savvy wagers. A $100 bet on Barez would net you about $71, whereas the same on Altamirano could bring home $120 if he pulls off a win. Keep your eye on those fluctuating odds as we inch closer to fight night.

Fighting out of Spain, Daniel Barez brings an impressive 16-6-0 record, showcasing a killer combination of striking and grappling skills. Not only does his resume boast an impressive seven knockouts and six submissions, but he's also famed for his nine first-round finishes. This incredible efficiency is evident in his average fight time, clocking in at just over nine minutes. Moreover, with a significant strike accuracy of 53% and a stellar takedown defense of 92%, Barez is no easy target in the octagon. Despite a recent setback against Jafel Filho, where he succumbed to a submission in the first round, Barez's hunger for redemption makes this fight even more electrifying.

Enter Victor Altamirano—the 33-year-old Mexican dynamo—possessing a record of 12-4-0. Although slightly less seasoned than Barez, Altamirano's a thug in the octagon, known for his relentless striking and solid grappling game. He's got two knockouts and four submissions under his belt and an average fight time of just over 13 minutes, suggesting he's built for both quick finishes and drawn-out battles. Not to be dismissed, his significant strike accuracy stands at a commendable 57%, with a balanced takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown defense rate of 63%. Despite recent losses to Felipe Dos Santos and Tim Elliott, Altamirano's drive to get back into the win column will be on full display come fight night.

So what can fans expect? An absolute barnburner, to say the least. This fight is loaded with UFC betting tips and endless possibilities for those looking to play the odds. The statistics certainly paint a vivid picture, but as we all know, anything can happen inside the octagon. Whether you're captivated by Barez's killer instinct or Altamirano's relentless pace, this fight promises to be a spectacular clash of styles that any fight fan or bettor won't want to miss.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moicano vs Saint Denis can be found on the Moicano vs Saint Denis event page.

Fighter Profiles: Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano

Daniel Barez: The Spanish Dynamo

When it comes to determination and skill, Daniel Barez exemplifies the essence of a seasoned fighter. Hailing from Spain, the 34-year-old flyweight debuted in the UFC on July 22, 2023, showcasing his diverse fighting style that seamlessly melds striking and grappling. Standing at 66 inches tall, weighing in at 125 lbs, and boasting an arm reach of 66 inches, Barez is compact but powerful, adept in leveraging his build for maximum impact.

Recent Form and Fight History

Daniel Barez's recent form has been quite a rollercoaster. In his latest bout, he suffered a first-round submission loss to Jafel Filho, tapping out at 3:26. Despite this setback, his previous performances have displayed his versatility and resilience, featuring notable victories via knockouts and submissions.

Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Strengths:

    • Powerful Striker: With seven wins by knockout, Barez's ability to deliver knockouts is a significant part of his arsenal.
    • Submission Specialist: With six submission victories, he’s equally dangerous on the ground.
    • Efficient Finisher: His nine first-round finishes underscore his capacity to end fights swiftly, reflected in his average fight time of just over nine minutes.
    • Defensive Prowess: A takedown defense of 92% renders him a tough nut to crack on the ground.
  • Weaknesses:

    • Recent Form: The recent submission loss to Filho has revealed a possible vulnerability against high-level grapplers.
    • Takedown Accuracy: His 31% takedown accuracy shows some room for improvement, particularly when strategizing to ground his opponents.

Victor Altamirano: The Mexican Striker

Victor Altamirano, fighting out of Mexico City, Mexico, is a 33-year-old athlete who has turned heads since his UFC debut on February 26, 2022. Tall for a flyweight at 68 inches with a 70-inch arm reach, Altamirano employs a striking-based approach. Known for his relentless pace and versatile skill set, Altamirano presents a formidable challenge.

Recent Form and Fight History

Altamirano’s recent outings have been a mixed bag. In his latest fight, he endured a split-decision loss to Felipe Dos Santos. This came on the heels of another decision loss to Tim Elliott and a unanimous decision win against Vinicius Salvador. Despite these losses, his victories over Daniel Da Silva (via TKO) and Carlos Hernandez (via split decision) highlight his capability to secure wins in high-stakes battles.

Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Strengths:

    • Striking Accuracy: Victor’s 57% significant strike accuracy showcases his precision, making him a consistent threat on the feet.
    • Submissions Skills: With four submission victories on his record, Altamirano is no slouch on the mat.
    • Balance: His fight history indicates versatility, capable of both stand-up battles and ground exchanges.
    • Conditioning: An average fight time of 13:07 shows he’s well-conditioned to go the distance, tipping the endurance scales in his favor.
  • Weaknesses:

    • Defensive Vulnerabilities: With a takedown defense of 63%, Altamirano may struggle against fighters proficient in grappling.
    • Recent Slump: Dropping two of his last three fights via decision may weigh psychologically, affecting his in-cage strategy and confidence.
    • Takedown Efficiency: Although balanced in various aspects, his 39% takedown accuracy suggests he might find it challenging to control where the fight goes.

Summary

This exciting clash between Daniel Barez and Victor Altamirano pits two flyweights with contrasting yet complementary skill sets. Barez’s explosive power and sharp submissions face off against Altamirano’s high-accuracy striking and all-around toughness. Betting fans and fight enthusiasts alike should brace for a technical, high-stakes bout, packed with twists and strategic maneuvers.

Whether you’re placing bets or just eagerly watching, this fight is sure to be a dynamic, strategy-filled contest that will keep everyone on the edge of their seats.

Betting Odds: Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano

Let's dive into the nitty-gritty of the Daniel Barez vs Victor Altamirano betting odds, a crucial element for all you savvy bettors and fight enthusiasts. As we inch closer to the fight on September 28, 2024, the odds landscape continues to shift, and knowing where to put your money can make all the difference.

Current Betting Odds Overview

As it stands, Daniel Barez is positioned as the favorite across multiple sportsbooks:

  • BetUS: -140
  • BetOnline.ag: -136
  • LowVig.ag: -136
  • BetRivers: -143
  • BetMGM: -145

On the flip side, Victor Altamirano is the underdog with odds as follows:

  • BetUS: +110
  • BetOnline.ag: +116
  • LowVig.ag: +116
  • BetRivers: +116
  • BetMGM: +120

Difference in Betting Odds

The disparity between the two fighters' odds showcases the general consensus. Barez, priced around -140 to -145, indicates a higher likelihood of winning as perceived by bookmakers. Altamirano’s odds range from +110 to +120, labeling him as the underdog, presenting the potential for a higher payout upon victory.

Optimal Sportsbook for Betting

If you're considering placing a bet on Daniel Barez, BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag offer the most favorable odds at -136. For those banking on Victor Altamirano, BetMGM stands out with +120, offering the best return for your bet.

Historical Shifts in Odds

Books like BetUS and BetOnline.ag show a history of frequent updates. For instance, BetOnline.ag shows a slight adjustment, moving from +116 to +120 for Altamirano, and from -140 to -136 for Barez. These shifts reflect the perception dynamics in the betting community.

Hypothetical Payouts with $1,000 Bet

  • Daniel Barez: With odds of -136 at BetOnline.ag, a $1,000 bet on Barez would yield approximately $735.29 in winnings, bringing your total payout to $1,735.29.
  • Victor Altamirano: Placing a $1,000 bet on Altamirano at +120 via BetMGM would net $1,200 in winnings, leading to a total payout of $2,200.

Probability Insights

While it's easy to get lost in numbers, let's simplify it. Based on the current odds, the implied probability suggests that Barez has a higher chance of walking away victorious. The odds show the community's trust in his abilities, despite his recent loss.

Conclusion

Analyzing the betting odds offers a unique perspective into the fight, creating a window into how sportsbooks and the betting community view each fighter. For those seeking the optimal return, paying attention to sportsbooks like BetOnline.ag and BetMGM can make a significant difference. Whether you're siding with the favorite, Barez, or banking on the underdog, Altamirano, understanding the odds is key to making an informed and potentially lucrative bet.

Equip yourself with these insights and maximize your chances for a winning return. Best of luck, and may the best fighter win!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez