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Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva: UFC Fight Analysis & Predictions

Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva: UFC Fight Analysis & Predictions

Published

Thu Aug 22 2024

Last Updated

Thu Aug 22 2024

Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva: Women's Flyweight Clash at UFC APEX

Ladies and gentlemen, brace yourselves for an electrifying showdown in the Women's Flyweight division as Jessica Andrade takes on Natalia Silva. This highly anticipated bout, part of the main card for UFC Fight Night on September 7, 2024, will be hosted at the iconic UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. With matchups like this, UFC betting tips are a hot topic, and we’re about to get into the nitty-gritty of this captivating contest.

Jessica Andrade, the seasoned veteran hailing from Umuarama, Brazil, enters the octagon with a decorated record of 26 wins, 12 losses, and no draws. Ranked #6 in the Women's Flyweight division and #11 in the pound-for-pound rankings, Andrade is known for her aggressive Muay Thai style and breathtaking first-round finishes—she has an astonishing 11 of them to her name. Andrade’s experience and record are nothing short of formidable, boasting 10 wins by knockout and 8 by submission. Despite a recent patch of mixed results, including losses to Tatiana Suarez and Xiaonan Yan, her recent TKO victory over Mackenzie Dern demonstrates that “Bate Estaca” is still a force to be reckoned with.

On the flip side, we have Natalia Silva, the emerging talent representing Timóteo, Brazil. Holding a record of 17 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw, Silva is currently ranked #8 in the same weight class. Silva’s fighting resume is equally impressive, with 5 wins by knockout and 7 via submission. Silva is riding a wave of momentum with recent unanimous decision victories over Andrea Lee and Viviane Araujo, along with first-round knockouts of Victoria Leonardo and Tereza Bleda. Her dynamic Taekwondo background has made her a well-rounded fighter, and at 27 years of age, she’s just hitting her prime.

Betting enthusiasts take note: the odds are leaning towards Silva, who is listed at -260 on several betting platforms like DraftKings, BetOnline.ag, and LowVig.ag. Meanwhile, Andrade is the underdog with odds of +220, making this matchup an enticing prospect for those looking to make informed wagers. Silva’s odds have been fluctuating, indicating high betting activity and interest surrounding her. As fight night approaches, keeping an eye on these odds can provide insightful UFC event predictions.

This fight promises to be a clash of styles. Andrade’s relentless forward pressure and powerful striking will be tested against Silva’s precision, agility, and defensive prowess—boasting a significant striking defense rate of 65%. For Silva, stopping Andrade’s takedown attempts will be crucial, given Andrade’s impressive takedown accuracy of 56%.

Whether you’re a die-hard MMA fan or a sports bettor scouring for UFC betting tips, this bout offers everything: seasoned experience versus youthful exuberance, raw power against technical finesse, and a potential upset in the making. Gather your friends, mark your calendars, and prepare for what promises to be an unforgettable fight. Don’t miss out on Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva—it’s more than just a fight; it’s a spectacle that epitomizes the spirit of UFC.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Burns vs Brady can be found on the Burns vs Brady event page.

Fighter Profiles: Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva

When it comes to UFC betting tips and Fighter analysis, understanding the profiles and recent form of Jessica Andrade and Natalia Silva will arm you with crucial information. Let's delve into the nitty-gritty of these two dynamic fighters and see what makes them tick.

Jessica Andrade: The Aggressive Veteran

Country: Brazil
Age: 32
Fighting Style: Muay Thai
Ranking: #6 Women's Flyweight, #11 Pound-for-Pound
Record (W/L/D): 26/12/0

Jessica "Bate Estaca" Andrade is a veteran of the sport, fighting out of Umuarama, Brazil. Known for her aggressive Muay Thai style, Andrade has an impressive 26 wins under her belt, featuring 10 knockouts and 8 submissions. At 32 years old, she brings a wealth of experience to the octagon. Andrade's fighting career in the UFC commenced in July 2013, and she has since become a staple in the Women's Flyweight division.

Recent Form:

  1. Win vs. Mackenzie Dern (KO/TKO, Round 2)
  2. Loss vs. Tatiana Suarez (Submission, Round 2)
  3. Loss vs. Xiaonan Yan (KO/TKO, Round 1)
  4. Loss vs. Erin Blanchfield (Submission, Round 2)
  5. Win vs. Lauren Murphy (Decision - Unanimous)

Strengths:

  • Power and Aggressiveness: Andrade’s striking power is her strongest asset. A 51% significant strike accuracy rate backs up her ability to land effective blows.
  • Experience: With over a decade in the UFC, her experience is invaluable, particularly against rising stars.
  • Grappling Ability: An impressive 56% takedown accuracy complements her skill set, making her a dual threat.

Weaknesses:

  • Defensive Vulnerabilities: Andrade has shown susceptibility in her grappling defense, with a 72% defense rate. This isn’t poor, but compared to top-tier fighters, it's a chink in her armor.
  • Recent Patchy Form: Having lost three of her last five fights, her recent form could be a psychological barrier.

Natalia Silva: The Dynamic Prospect

Country: Brazil
Age: 27
Fighting Style: Taekwondo
Ranking: #8 Women's Flyweight
Record (W/L/D): 17/5/1

Natalia Silva is a rising star in the Women's Flyweight division. Born in Timóteo, Brazil, Silva’s fighting style is rooted in Taekwondo, making her a dynamic and agile competitor. At just 27 years old, she is entering her prime fighting years and has already built a commendable record of 17 wins, including 5 knockouts and 7 submissions. Silva made her UFC debut in June 2022 and has been on a tear since.

Recent Form:

  1. Win vs. Andrea Lee (Decision - Unanimous)
  2. Win vs. Victoria Leonardo (KO/TKO, Round 1)
  3. Win vs. Tereza Bleda (KO/TKO, Round 3)
  4. Win vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Decision - Unanimous)
  5. Win vs. Viviane Araujo (Decision - Unanimous)

Strengths:

  • Striking Defense: Silva shines in her ability to avoid getting hit, boasting a 65% significant strike defense rate.
  • Versatility: Her Taekwondo background gives her a versatile striking arsenal, making her unpredictable.
  • Momentum: Riding a five-fight winning streak, Silva enters this bout with a wave of confidence and momentum.

Weaknesses:

  • Grappling: With a takedown accuracy rate of just 29%, Silva's grappling game isn’t as strong as her striking.
  • Fight Experience: Despite her impressive run, she doesn’t have the decade-plus experience that Andrade brings, which may become a factor in high-pressure situations.

Conclusion

Both fighters bring unique skillsets to the table—Andrade with her unparalleled aggression and knockout power, and Silva with her agility and striking defense. Depending on how they leverage their strengths and address their weaknesses, this fight could play out in numerous exciting ways. Stay tuned for this epic clash, and may the best fighter win!

Betting Odds Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva

When it comes to UFC betting tips, one of the most critical aspects to look at is the current betting odds and their history. For the upcoming clash between Jessica Andrade and Natalia Silva, these numbers can offer a wealth of insight for prospective bettors. Let’s break down the betting odds for this fight, pinpointing who the underdog is, which sportsbook offers the best odds, and how a potential $1000 bet could payout.

Current Betting Odds

As of the latest update, Natalia Silva is the favorite for this bout with odds sitting at -260 across multiple sportsbooks, including DraftKings, BetOnline.ag, and LowVig.ag. On the other hand, Jessica Andrade carries underdog odds of +220 on the same platforms.

Odds Breakdown

  • DraftKings:
    • Natalia Silva: -270
    • Jessica Andrade: +220
  • BetOnline.ag:
    • Natalia Silva: -260
    • Jessica Andrade: +220
  • LowVig.ag:
    • Natalia Silva: -260
    • Jessica Andrade: +220

Based on these figures, if you’re looking to place a bet on Natalia Silva, the best value currently is at BetOnline.ag or LowVig.ag with odds of -260. Conversely, if you’re banking on an underdog victory from Jessica Andrade, all three sportsbooks offer +220, but DraftKings seems to update their odds most frequently, giving you the latest value proposition.

Odds History Analysis

Analyzing the odds history sheds more light on how the betting sentiment has shifted over time.

  • Natalia Silva:
    • Odds have fluctuated, ranging from -148 to -298 on DraftKings.
    • The most significant odds swing for Silva happened on August 16, 2024, suggesting considerable betting activity or new information affecting the market.
  • Jessica Andrade:
    • Andrade's odds have seen movements between +124 and +240 on BetOnline.ag, with notable shifts around mid-August 2024.

BetOnline.ag and DraftKings seem to update their odds most frequently, reflecting real-time betting activities more transparently. LowVig.ag also shows changes but appears to be less reactive in comparison.

Payout Potential

Now, if you decide to throw down a cool $1000 on either fighter, here’s what to expect:

  • If you bet $1000 on Jessica Andrade (+220) and she wins, you would receive a payout of $3,200 ($1,000 stake + $2,200 profit).
  • If you bet $1000 on Natalia Silva (-260) and she pulls through, your payout would be $1,384.62 ($1,000 stake + $384.62 profit).

Implied Probability

Understanding the probabilities based on the odds can be enlightening, even if you’re not into the mathematics of it all:

  • Natalia Silva, with odds of -260, essentially has an implied probability of about 72%. This suggests strong confidence in her winning, likely due to her recent form and technical prowess.
  • Jessica Andrade, with odds of +220, has an implied probability of roughly 31%. Despite being the underdog, don’t forget that she brings a wealth of experience and a history of delivering shocking upsets.

Final Thoughts

In summary, Natalia Silva is positioned as the favorite, but the lure of a high payout on an Andrade upset cannot be ignored. For sharp bettors, monitoring these odds closely, especially on frequently updating platforms like DraftKings and BetOnline.ag, can provide the edge needed for smart wagering. Whether you’re betting on the favorite or shooting your shot with the underdog, there's plenty of excitement and potential profit to be had in this captivating matchup!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez