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UFC 307: Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Fight Analysis & Odds

UFC 307: Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Fight Analysis & Odds

Published

Wed Sep 18 2024

Last Updated

Wed Sep 18 2024

Pereira vs Rountree Jr.: Light Heavyweight Title Clash at UFC 307

Welcome to the electrifying world of UFC, where dreams are either forged in victory or shattered in defeat. Mark your calendars for October 6, 2024, because the UFC 307 event is going to be an unforgettable spectacle. Held at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, fans will witness a Light Heavyweight Title fight that promises to be nothing short of epic. This is the “Pereira vs Rountree Jr.” showdown, and it’s the kind of high-stakes bout that makes the pulse of the UFC betting community race.

Alex Pereira, the reigning champion hailing from Brazil, steps into the Octagon with an intimidating record of 11-2-0. Known for his devastating striking power, Pereira has racked up 9 knockout wins, including a recent KO against Jiri Prochazka which cemented his status as the king of the Light Heavyweight division. With a towering height of 76 inches and an arm reach of 79 inches, his physical advantages are clearly evident. Pereira’s substantial betting odds of -470 (via DraftKings) highlight him as the favorite in this battle, reflecting his formidable presence and dominance in the ring. His impeccable significant strike accuracy of 64% and a takedown defense rate of 70% are stats that send chills down any opponent’s spine.

Standing opposite Pereira is the underdog fighter from the United States, Khalil Rountree Jr.. Currently ranked #8 in the Light Heavyweight division, Rountree comes in with a record of 14-5-0. Don’t let the odds of +350 (offered by FanDuel) fool you; Khalil Rountree Jr. is a beast in his own right. Known for his explosive knockout power, Rountree boasts 10 knockout victories, six of which were first-round finishes. His victory over Anthony Smith via KO/TKO in December 2023 is still fresh in fans' minds, proving that he can never be underestimated.

Rountree fights with a versatile MMA style, while Pereira is a master kickboxer. The clash of these fighting styles is bound to produce fireworks. For bettors hunting for insights, consider that Pereira’s average fight time is 09:39, reflecting his measured, yet lethal approach. On the other hand, Rountree’s average fight duration is shorter at 07:50, which could indicate a more aggressive and fast-paced strategy.

Both fighters prefer to keep the fight standing, with Pereira boasting a 100% takedown accuracy and Rountree not having any significant success in the takedown department. However, Rountree’s take-down defense rate of 59% illustrates his ability to stay on his feet, making this bout likely to unfold as a striking-heavy affair.

With a showdown this intense, fight fans and UFC bettors alike can expect an explosive night. From the exciting backstories of both fighters to their contrasting statistical strengths, the Pereira vs Rountree Jr. bout at UFC 307 is not just a fight; it's an event that promises to deliver pure, unadulterated action.

Get ready for the ultimate bout where strategies, physical prowess, and raw power will be put to the ultimate test. This is not just another fight night; this is a bet-worthy clash that could redefine the landscape of the Light Heavyweight division. Stay tuned for more UFC betting tips, fighter analysis, and event predictions as we dive deeper into what promises to be a historic fight.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pereira vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Pereira vs Rountree Jr. event page.

Fighter Profiles: Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Alex Pereira: The Reigning Champion

Born in São Bernardo do Campo, Brazil, Alex Pereira is a 37-year-old fighting phenom who has swiftly ascended the ranks to clinch the Light Heavyweight Title. Known for his devastating kickboxing prowess, Pereira’s background is as fierce as his in-ring performances. Standing at 6'4" with a 79-inch reach, he leverages every inch of his frame to execute his lethal striking game.

Pereira’s UFC debut came on November 6, 2021, and since then, he has amassed a stellar record of 11-2-0. His most recent victory—a stunning KO against Jiri Prochazka within the first 13 seconds of the second round—showcased his precision and power. Over his career, Pereira has racked up 9 wins by knockout, emphasizing his ability to end fights decisively and dramatically.

Analyzing Pereira’s statistics underlines his strengths:

  • Significant Strike Accuracy: A staggering 64%, reflecting his ability to land effective strikes.
  • Takedown Accuracy: Sitting at 100%, though he prefers to keep bouts standing, this showcases his versatility.
  • Takedown Defense: At 70%, Pereira is adept at neutralizing his opponents' attempts to ground him.

However, his weakness might lie in defense; his Significant Strike Defense stands at 51%, suggesting that he absorbs nearly half of the strikes thrown his way. This could be a minor point of concern against an opponent with KO power like Rountree.

Khalil Rountree Jr.: The Dangerous Underdog

Hailing from Los Angeles, United States, Khalil Rountree Jr. is a 34-year-old MMA specialist who embodies resilience and raw power. With a height of 6'1" and an arm reach of 76.5 inches, he may be slightly shorter and smaller in reach compared to Pereira, but what he lacks in reach, he makes up in ferocity.

Since his UFC debut on July 9, 2016, Rountree has built a record of 14-5-0. Recent performances paint a picture of a fighter who is ever-improving and increasingly dangerous:

  • vs. Anthony Smith (Dec 2023): Win by KO/TKO in Round 3
  • vs. Chris Daukaus (Aug 2023): Win by KO/TKO in Round 1
  • vs. Dustin Jacoby (Oct 2022): Win by Split Decision
  • vs. Karl Roberson (Mar 2022): Win by KO/TKO in Round 2
  • vs. Modestas Bukauskas (Sep 2021): Win by KO/TKO in Round 2

Rountree’s fighting style is versatile MMA, allowing him to adapt to different opponents. Statistically, his strengths lie in:

  • Knockout Power: With 10 wins by knockout and 7 first-round finishes, Rountree can finish fights swiftly.
  • Significant Strike Defense: Although his defense stands at 50%, it could be an edge against Pereira’s striking volume.

On the flip side, Rountree’s statistics reveal some vulnerabilities:

  • Significant Strike Accuracy: His accuracy is at 39%, indicating he lands fewer strikes than Pereira.
  • Takedown Accuracy: Surprisingly, this stands at 0%, revealing a lack of ground game, which might be exploited if the fight goes to the mat.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Alex Pereira

  • Strengths: Highly accurate striker, powerful knockouts, good takedown defense.
  • Weaknesses: Defense against significant strikes could be better.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

  • Strengths: Knockout power, versatility in MMA, resilience in fights.
  • Weaknesses: Lower striking accuracy, non-existent takedown game, slightly weaker defense against strikes.

Both fighters bring unique strengths and some hidden vulnerabilities into the Octagon. While Pereira’s surgical striking and reach make him a formidable opponent, Rountree’s raw power and resilience can never be underestimated. Stay tuned to this page for more in-depth UFC event predictions, fighter match-up breakdowns, and UFC betting tips that will help you make an informed bet on this exhilarating clash.

Betting Odds and History: Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

When it comes to UFC betting tips and laying down wagers, understanding the betting odds and their history can give you an edge. For the upcoming Light Heavyweight Title fight at UFC 307, the betting lines between Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree Jr. paint a clear picture of how the sportsbooks are favoring this matchup.

Current Betting Odds

As of now, the odds firmly place Alex Pereira as the favorite:

  • DraftKings: Pereira at -470, Rountree at +360
  • FanDuel: Pereira at -520, Rountree at +350
  • Bovada: Pereira at -510, Rountree at +370
  • BetOnline: Pereira at -500, Rountree at +375
  • Caesars: Pereira at -450, Rountree at +350
  • BetRivers: Pereira at -455, Rountree at +340
  • LowVig.ag: Pereira at -500, Rountree at +375

The variations in odds subtly hint at the balance and confidence level sportsbooks have for each fighter. Across the board, Pereira’s odds range from -450 to -520, making him the clear favorite. On the flip side, Rountree's odds span from +340 to +375, positioning him as the underdog.

Best Sportsbook to Bet On

If you’re looking to place a bet on this fight:

  • Best for Pereira: Caesars offers the most favorable odds at -450, which means you'll have a slightly better payout compared to other books.
  • Best for Rountree: BetOnline and LowVig.ag both offer +375 for Rountree, presenting the maximum reward for your risk.

Odds History and Updates

FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetOnline are among the sportsbooks that frequently update their odds:

  • DraftKings: Initially set Pereira’s odds at -535 before adjusting them to -470.
  • FanDuel: Regularly shifts its numbers, keeping bettors on their toes.
  • BetOnline: Changed Pereira’s odds from -351 to -500, showing significant movement, and has also kept a fluid range for Rountree’s odds from +286 to +375.

Sportsbooks such as FanDuel and BetOnline are noted for their frequent shifts, making them excellent sources for up-to-date betting lines.

Betting Payouts

If you’re psyched about betting on this fight, here’s how the payout looks:

  • Betting $1000 on Pereira at -510 (FanDuel): You’d net $196.08 plus your initial stake. Total payout: $1196.08.
  • Betting $1000 on Rountree at +375 (BetOnline): You’d gain $3750 plus your initial stake. Total payout: $4750.

It’s clear that betting on Rountree gives a higher potential reward, but comes with greater risk based on his underdog status.

Probability Based on Current Odds

Odds give insight into implied probabilities:

  • Alex Pereira: His odds suggest a high probability of winning, generally around 81%, reflecting his dominant track record and skills.
  • Khalil Rountree Jr.: His odds indicate an implied probability of approximately 22%, showcasing him as the risky, yet potentially lucrative pick.

So, whether you're leaning towards the favored Pereira with his lethal striking and title-winning history or eyeing the big windfall with Rountree’s underdog power, this fight provides compelling betting angles. Stay tuned for more fighter analysis, UFC event predictions, and sports betting strategies to get the most out of this thrilling clash at UFC 307.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez