Winner: Jean Matsumoto
Confidence Score: 60Jean Matsumoto edges Brad Katona in this matchup based on various factors. First, Matsumoto has a perfect professional record of 15-0-0, showcasing not only consistency but a proven ability to win fights, albeit most of his victories come outside of the UFC. He displays a well-rounded skill set with 3 wins by knockout and 6 by submission, indicating versatility and the ability to finish fights in multiple ways.
Matsumoto’s fighting style is rooted in Muay Thai, which could give him striking advantages, particularly with significant strikes at a 38% accuracy rate. While this percentage isn’t overly high, his striking defense at 52% suggests he can evade and counter opponents effectively. His takedown accuracy is fairly solid at 50%, showing prowess in grappling and wrestling, complemented by a 56% takedown defense rate.
Brad Katona, on the other hand, while more experienced in the UFC with a record of 16-3-0 and longer UFC tenure, hasn’t demonstrated the same finishing power, with only one knockout in his career and generally longer average fight times (15:00). Katona’s significant strike accuracy is higher at 51%, but his defense is slightly lower than Matsumoto’s at 49%. His takedown accuracy and defense, 33% and 53% respectively, are not as strong as Matsumoto’s.
Age is also on Matsumoto's side, being 24 compared to Katona’s 32, potentially pointing to better agility and endurance. Although Katona's experience in the octagon could factor heavily, Matsumoto’s unbeaten streak and wider finishing arsenal give him a slight edge, resulting in a prediction favoring him, but with moderate confidence due to his relative newness to the UFC.
Live odds
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