Winner: Mike Malott
Confidence Score: 75In analyzing the bout between Mike Malott and Trevin Giles, several key data points suggest that Mike Malott has the edge in this matchup:
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Record and Momentum: Malott holds a record of 10-2-1, showing a solid winning history with a higher finish rate, predominantly in the first round. In comparison, Giles has experienced more losses in recent fights (16-6-0) and has been finished in his last two outings, which could indicate a vulnerability.
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Finish Ability: Malott has demonstrated an impressive ability to finish fights with 9 first-round finishes to his name. His high finish rate via KO and submission makes him a dual threat, whereas Giles has shown some susceptibility to both striking and grappling, having suffered defeats via KO/TKO and submission.
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Striking and Grappling Statistics: Although Giles shows higher significant strike accuracy (55% compared to Malott's 47%), Malott’s takedown accuracy (60% compared to Giles' 50%) can be a decisive factor if the fight goes to the ground. Notably, Malott’s average fight time indicates efficiency in securing victories faster than Giles, which reflects his aggressive style.
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Recent Performance and Styles: While Giles has a slightly better significant strike defense percentage, Malott’s aggressive style and efficiency in first-round finishes could potentially overwhelm Giles, who may be on the back foot given his recent performances and susceptibility under pressure.
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Grappling and Ground Game: Giles’ 71% takedown defense might challenge Malott, but if Malott can secure the takedown, his ground game could play a vital role considering Giles’ recent loss via submission.
Overall, these factors, including Malott's higher finishing capability and recent form compared to Giles’ recent losses, lead to a confident pick for Mike Malott with a confidence score of 75%. However, Giles' experience and fighting style should not be entirely discounted, which is why the confidence level is not higher.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Mike Malott vs Trevin Giles can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Albazi can be found on the Moreno vs Albazi event page.