Shara Magomedov vs Armen Petrosyan - AI generated fight pick

Shara Magomedov presents a strong case for victory in this matchup against Armen Petrosyan. First, let's consider Magomedov's impressive undefeated record of 14-0, with 11 of those wins coming by knockout. This indicates his powerful striking capability and ability to finish fights, especially early, as evidenced by his 7 first-round finishes. His significant strike accuracy is very high at 66%, indicating precision and effectiveness in his striking.

On the other hand, while Petrosyan is a skilled and experienced fighter with a 9-3 record and a Muay Thai background, there are notable weaknesses in his game. His takedown defense is particularly concerning at 32%, which may be less relevant against Magomedov given he has no recorded takedowns, but it signifies an exploitable aspect of his defense. Additionally, Petrosyan has suffered from defensive lapses, as seen in his lower significant strike defense at 57% compared to Magomedov.

Magomedov also enjoys a slight reach advantage with a 73-inch arm reach, providing him with an edge in striking exchanges if he maintains distance effectively. While both fighters have a high finish rate by knockout, Magomedov's undefeated status and higher finishing rate tilt the probability in his favor.

Petrosyan's experience and ability to push fights to decisions could give him an edge if it goes the distance, but Magomedov's impressive striking accuracy and power, coupled with his ability to defend takedowns (71%), make him a strong contender to maintain his undefeated record. Given these data points, Magomedov seems more likely to win, particularly if the fight does not go to a decision.