Winner: Mateusz Rebecki
Confidence Score: 70Mateusz Rebecki holds a slight advantage given his vast experience compared to Myktybek Orolbai. Rebecki has a record of 19-2-0, with a significant number of his wins coming by knockout (9) and submission (7). This indicates a well-rounded skill set that includes both striking and grappling proficiency. His first-round finishes (10) and average fight time of 08:44 suggest that he tends to control and finish fights swiftly.
Rebecki's striking accuracy (49%) and defense (55%) show that he is effective and reasonably evasive in striking exchanges. His takedown accuracy of 75% demonstrates his strong grappling ability, essential against an opponent who shows no significant takedown defense statistics.
Conversely, Orolbai, despite an impressive record of 13-1-1, lacks substantial data on takedown and takedown defense, indicating potential vulnerabilities against a fighter like Rebecki. Although Orolbai has 100% strike accuracy, this is likely due to a small sample size and limited high-level competition.
Overall, Rebecki's experience, diverse skill set, and proven performance in grappling give him an edge in this matchup. Orolbai's unexplored ground game and striking defense could be crucial liabilities against Rebecki, who can exploit these areas effectively.
Live odds
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