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Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Published

Sat Sep 07 2024

Last Updated

Sat Sep 07 2024

The Ultimate Bantamweight Battle: Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden Showdown

Prepare yourselves for one of the most electrifying showdowns at UFC Fight Night, as Matt Schnell and Cody Durden clash in a high-stakes bantamweight bout. The UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, will host this riveting encounter on September 7, 2024, as part of the event headlined by Burns vs. Brady. The combat arena will unquestionably be charged with intensity, as these two fighters put their skills and strategies to the ultimate test.

UFC Betting Tips: Why This Fight is a Must-Watch

For UFC betting aficionados, this clash offers a tantalizing opportunity to lay down some strategic bets. Cody Durden enters the cage as the favored fighter with odds ranging from -315 to -335 across renowned bookmakers like BetOnline.ag, BetRivers, and LowVig.ag. Meanwhile, Matt Schnell is positioned as the underdog, with odds running from +250 to +265. With these odds, the betting landscape is compelling enough to keep every fight fan on the edge of their seat.

Fighter Backgrounds: Matt Schnell and Cody Durden

Matt "Danger" Schnell, who is currently ranked #11 in the flyweight division, brings an impressive record of 16-8-0 to the octagon. Known for his boxing prowess, Schnell has a diverse fighting repertoire, which includes nine wins by submission and two by knockout. Despite a rather mixed recent history including a loss via KO/TKO against Matheus Nicolau and a victory by submission over Su Mudaerji, Schnell is a seasoned warrior. Notably, he has a slight physical advantage with a height of 68 inches and an arm reach of 70 inches.

Cody Durden, the #15 ranked flyweight, enters this battle with a balanced record of 16-6-1. A Striker by fighting style, Durden boasts six wins by knockout and five by submission, showcasing his multifaceted offensive capabilities. Though his recent fights include a string of losses, notably against Tagir Ulanbekov, Jake Hadley, and Jimmy Flick, Durden remains a potent force with a fierce determination to win. His significant strike accuracy stands at an impressive 51%, and his takedown accuracy mirrors this precision, making him a formidable opponent for Schnell.

High-Stakes Predictions: Why Both Fighters Are Desperate for a Win

The stakes couldn’t be higher for both fighters. Schnell, with a higher defense percentage (55%) and a slightly better takedown defense (50%), needs a win to climb up the rankings and reestablish his name. On the other hand, Durden's powerful striking and relentless takedowns, coupled with his urgent need to break his losing streak, add a layer of raw intensity to this bout.

For bettors looking to capitalize on UFC event predictions, the Matt Schnell vs. Cody Durden fight provides a calculated risk. Both fighters are well-matched, each with their own unique strengths and weaknesses. Whether you're backing Schnell for his experience and submission skills or betting on Durden's striking power and urgency to win, this fight promises to be a thrilling spectacle.

Final Thoughts: Your Roadmap to Betting Success

If you're keen on UFC betting tips, analyzing the fight strategies, recent performances, and physical stats of Schnell and Durden will give you the edge you need. This matchup is not just a fight but a complex game of strategy, strength, and psychological warfare. Make sure to catch every punch, takedown, and submission attempt in this high-energy bout that promises to be one of the highlights of UFC Fight Night!

Prepare your bets, hold onto your seats, and get ready for an epic encounter at the UFC APEX. This fight is set to be a barnburner, so don't miss out!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Burns vs Brady can be found on the Burns vs Brady event page.

Fighter Profiles: Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden

Matt Schnell: The Resilient Submission Specialist

Age: 34
Country: United States
Fighting Style: Boxing

Matt Schnell, known as "Danger," is a combatant who hails from the United States and carries a substantial to-do list inside the octagon. At age 34, Schnell occupies the #11 spot in the flyweight division, showcasing an admirable fighting record of 16-8-0. Notably, Schnell's expertise in submissions sets him apart, boasting nine submission victories alongside two knockout wins.

Recent Form

1. Matheus Nicolau (Loss) – Schnell's last fight witnessed a second-round KO/TKO defeat to Matheus Nicolau on December 4, 2022.
2. Su Mudaerji (Win) – Before that, Schnell secured a remarkable second-round submission win against Su Mudaerji on July 16, 2022.
3. Brandon Royval (Loss) – Earlier in 2022, Schnell faced Brandon Royval and lost via first-round submission.
4. Rogerio Bontorin (Loss) – In a closely contested bout, Schnell lost to Rogerio Bontorin by unanimous decision.
5. Tyson Nam (Win) – One of his notable victories came against Tyson Nam, where Schnell emerged victorious through a unanimous decision.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

  • Submissions: With nine submission wins, Schnell’s grappling skills are top-notch.
  • Fight Time: Schnell's average fight time of 07:46 indicates his ability to control the pace of the fight.
  • Defensive Prowess: A significant strike defense of 55% makes him difficult to land clean hits on.

Weaknesses:

  • Striking Accuracy: At 39%, Schnell’s striking accuracy leaves room for improvement.
  • Defense Vulnerability: With a takedown defense of only 50%, Schnell shows susceptibility to takedowns.

Cody Durden: The Ferocious Striker

Age: 33
Country: United States
Fighting Style: Striker

Cody Durden, an impactful fighter also from the United States, currently ranks #15 in the flyweight division. At 33 years old, Durden has compiled a strong record of 16-6-1. Known primarily for his striking, Durden’s resume includes six knockout wins and five submissions, reflecting his versatile combat skills.

Recent Form

1. Tagir Ulanbekov (Loss) – Durden’s last fight saw a second-round submission loss to Tagir Ulanbekov on December 16, 2023.
2. Jake Hadley (Loss) – Prior to that, Durden lost via unanimous decision to Jake Hadley on August 5, 2023.
3. Johnson (Loss) – Durden faced another defeat by unanimous decision to Johnson on April 29, 2023.
4. Mota (Loss) – A unanimous decision loss marked Durden’s bout against Mota on October 29, 2022.
5. Jp Buys (Win) – One of Durden’s more dominant performances was a first-round KO/TKO win against Jp Buys.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths:

  • Striking Skill: Durden’s significant strike accuracy of 51% showcases his effectiveness in stand-up combat.
  • Takedown Efficiency: With a 51% takedown accuracy, Durden is adept at bringing the fight to the ground.
  • Aggression: With nine first-round finishes, Durden demonstrates a formidable capacity for rapid and aggressive starts.

Weaknesses:

  • Loss Streak: Coming off a string of losses, Durden’s recent form has been shaky.
  • Defensive Inconsistency: Although efficient in takedowns, his significant strike defense stands at 50%, indicating he gets hit almost equally as much as he delivers.

Summary of Strengths and Weaknesses

Both Matt Schnell and Cody Durden bring a mix of strengths and vulnerabilities to this bout. Schnell's submission skills and defensive acumen clash with Durden’s fearsome striking and takedown ability. Schnell's overall defensive stats slightly edge out Durden’s, making it a classic confrontation of striking versus grappling. As they meet inside the octagon, expect a high-octane bout where each fighter’s strengths and weaknesses come under intense scrutiny.

For those looking for UFC betting tips or crafting their UFC event predictions, understanding the nuanced profiles of Schnell and Durden can provide that crucial edge. This matchup is a rich tapestry of technique, strategy, and recent form, promising a thrilling fight night experience.

Betting Odds Breakdown: Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden

When it comes to betting on the Matt Schnell vs Cody Durden fight, understanding the betting odds is crucial for making informed decisions. For this bout, the sportsbooks have made it clear who they favor, and knowing the nuances can give you an edge if you're looking to place a wager.

Current Betting Odds and Comparisons

Cody Durden enters this fight as the favorite, widely recognized across several sportsbooks. Here’s a breakdown of the current odds:

  • BetOnline.ag: -315 for Cody Durden, +265 for Matt Schnell
  • BetRivers: -335 for Cody Durden, +250 for Matt Schnell
  • LowVig.ag: -315 for Cody Durden, +265 for Matt Schnell

Matt Schnell finds himself as the underdog, a position that, while daunting, offers a higher reward for risk-takers. The odds reveal an unmistakable favoritism towards Durden, but also suggest a substantial profit margin for anyone willing to back Schnell.

Best Sportsbook to Place Your Bet

Among the available options, BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag offer the most favorable odds for Cody Durden at -315. Likewise, both sportsbooks provide a more profitable +265 odds on Matt Schnell if you’re rooting for the underdog.

For those monitoring the fluctuation, BetOnline.ag has been the most responsive, frequently updating its odds to reflect the latest market sentiments and fight analytics. On the other hand, LowVig.ag has displayed the most significant shifts in odds over time, suggesting a volatile but potentially lucrative betting scope.

Risk and Payout: Analyzing Your Returns

Imagine you decide to lay down $1000 on either fighter. Here’s what your payout would look like based on the current odds:

  • $1000 on Cody Durden at -315 (BetOnline.ag): A straight bet on Durden would yield a return of approximately $1317.46, offering modest earnings given his favored status.
  • $1000 on Matt Schnell at +265 (BetOnline.ag): If Schnell pulls off a win, your $1000 wager would net you a whopping $3650, leveraging the high-risk, high-reward scenario attached to underdog bets.

Probability Insights

While discussing percentages and probabilities might seem dull, bettors need to grasp what these odds imply. Cody Durden's favored odds suggest a strong probability of winning, while Matt Schnell’s underdog status implies a lower likelihood but a substantially higher payout. Translating odds to probability, Durden's -315 indicates a roughly 76% chance of winning, whereas Schnell’s +265 implies around a 27% chance of upsetting the favorite.

Why These Odds Matter

The differential in odds highlights the perceived gap in skill, recent form, and fight strategy between Schnell and Durden. For those eager to delve into UFC event predictions or seeking UFC betting tips, recognizing these differences could be the key to making lucrative bets. The betting landscape is shaped not just by statistical analysis but by public sentiment, making constant updates crucial.

If you’re looking to hedge your bet or play it smartly, staying tuned to sportsbooks that update frequently, like BetOnline.ag, can offer the latest odds to maximize your returns. On the other hand, daring gamblers might find value in the fluctuating odds at LowVig.ag.

Choosing where to place your bet is as strategic as the fighters' game plans. Whether you’re backing the favorite Durden or the underdog Schnell, these odds provide a roadmap for your betting journey. So, place your bets and get ready for an electrifying fight night!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez