Winner: Sumudaerji
Confidence Score: 65Analyzing the fight between Charles Johnson and Sumudaerji, both fighters have identical records of 16-6-0, indicating a fairly even matchup experience-wise. However, there are nuances in their skillsets and physical attributes that may give Sumudaerji an edge.
Firstly, Sumudaerji is known for his striking ability, with a high significant strike accuracy of 54% compared to Johnson's 52%. He's managed to secure 13 of his 16 wins by knockout, showcasing his striking prowess and knockout power. This striking advantage is further enhanced by his impressive significant strike defense at 62%, suggesting he is adept at avoiding damage while delivering impactful blows.
In addition to striking, Sumudaerji's takedown accuracy stands at a remarkable 100%, though he averages few attempts, which suggests he only engages in grappling when he sees a clear advantage. Coupled with a decent takedown defense (67%), he can keep the fight standing where he excels.
Charles Johnson, on the other hand, tends to have longer average fight times (13:19) compared to Sumudaerji's (8:33), indicating a greater endurance or propensity for tactical battles. He has a wider range in finishing methods, including submissions, but his overall efficiency might be less than Sumudaerji's.
Lastly, physically, Sumudaerji's reach advantage (72 inches vs 70 inches) would support his striking game plan, allowing him to land strikes from a distance against the slightly taller Johnson (69 inches vs 68 inches).
Overall, while Charles Johnson has been consistent and durable, Sumudaerji's striking advantage and ability to control the standing phase of the fight give him a slight edge in this matchup. However, the prediction carries a moderate confidence due to the closeness of both fighters’ stats and profiles.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Charles Johnson vs Sumudaerji can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hernandez vs Pereira can be found on the Hernandez vs Pereira event page.