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Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon: UFC Fight Prediction & Odds

Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon: UFC Fight Prediction & Odds

Published

Mon Oct 07 2024

Last Updated

Mon Oct 07 2024

Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon: Bantamweight Battle in Vegas

Mark your calendars for what promises to be a thrilling showdown at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, as the octagon gears up to host the highly-anticipated clash between Dan Argueta and Cody Haddon on October 12, 2024. This bantamweight bout is part of the Preliminary Card under the headline event, "Royval vs Taira", and is set to kick off at 8 PM local time. UFC fight fans and sports bettors have their eyes fixed upon this battle, as two hungry contenders, each with their own unique fighting blueprint, are eager to carve their path to UFC stardom.

In the world of UFC betting tips, every detail matters, and Dan Argueta's odds stand at an enticing +150 on FanDuel, positioning him as the underdog. However, don't let those numbers fool you; Argueta, with a solid 9-2 record, is no stranger to the octagon. Known for his MMA fighting style, this American powerhouse boasts an impressive 57% takedown defense, a formidable attribute that could prove a crucial factor against his opponent. Argueta's background reflects a seasoned competitor with significant experience, having secured victories through both submissions and knockouts, amassing a balanced prowess on the canvas.

Across the cage stands Cody Haddon from Joondalup, Australia, sporting favorite odds of -194. Despite being newer to the scene with a UFC record of 1-0, Haddon has quickly caught the attention of enthusiasts, thanks in part to his striking accuracy of 60% and a striking defense of 74%. These capabilities underscore a defensive play style that's poised to nullify threats and counter effectively, which are critical for emerging victorious in this intense battleground. At just 25 years old, Haddon’s arm reach at 69 inches complements his tactical advantage, offering him the leverage needed to keep adversaries at bay.

As sportsbooks like DraftKings and BetRivers refine their odds, the line movements underscore the intrigue around this mixed martial arts face-off. Bettors are keenly dissecting past performances and stylistic matchups to gain insights into this captivating contest. Argueta aims to rebound from recent setbacks and showcase his first-round finishing potential, while Haddon looks to extend his winning streak and establish himself as a notable contender in the bantamweight division.

Whether you're an avid UFC aficionado or a casual fan looking for betting insights, this matchup is one that delivers promise and unpredictability. Will Argueta's experience and grit overcome the statistical advantage and youthful exuberance of Haddon? As fight night approaches, all those looking for "Fighter A vs. Fighter B analysis," "UFC event predictions," and strategic UFC betting tips will surely want to stay tuned to the details of this exhilarating encounter. Ready your bets and make sure to catch this electrifying bout – it’s not one to be missed!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Royval vs Taira can be found on the Royval vs Taira event page.

Fighter Profiles: Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon

In the world of UFC, understanding the fighters' backgrounds and recent forms provides valuable insights for fight analysis and helps in strategizing UFC betting tips. Let's delve into the profiles of Dan Argueta and Cody Haddon, who are set to clash in the octagon, bringing their unique attributes and recent fight experiences into this exciting matchup.

Dan Argueta: The Gritty Veteran

Dan Argueta, hailing from the United States, embodies a fighter seasoned by experience and honed by a myriad of battles in the octagon. At 30 years old, Argueta brings a well-rounded MMA fighting style, blending striking and grappling seamlessly. Standing at 67 inches with an arm reach of 68 inches, his close-range combat potential is complemented by an ability to adapt and outmaneuver opponents on the ground.

Argueta’s UFC journey has been a roller-coaster, marked by both tenacity and resilience. In his last five fights, Argueta secured a victory against Nick Aguirre via unanimous decision but faced setbacks against opponents like Jean Matsumoto, Miles Johns, and Damon Jackson. These losses highlight a pressing need for defensive fortification, especially with a sig strike defense of 52% which could be exploited by adept strikers.

One of Argueta's significant strengths is his submission game, with 4 of his 9 victories coming via submission, underscoring his ability to finish opponents with deft precision. However, his recent loss streak suggests a possible vulnerability in handling aggressive striking pressure and conserving stamina over extended rounds, as reflected in his average fight time of 11:28.

Cody Haddon: The Emerging Prospect

At the opposite corner stands Cody Haddon, a youthful prospect from Joondalup, Australia. Just 25 years old, Haddon represents the new wave of talent eager to make a mark on the UFC landscape. Although his current UFC record is a modest 1-0, Haddon’s combat prowess should not be underestimated. His style is marked by precision and tactical acumen, evidenced by a commendable 60% significant strike accuracy.

Haddon’s recent fight form is embryonic yet impressive, with a defensive strategy that has proven effective, boasting a substantial 74% sig strike defense. Despite lacking tangible victories via knockout or submission in his brief record, Haddon’s statistics reveal potential areas of strength in his expanding skill set. His significant reach advantage (arm reach of 69 inches) arms him with the capacity to strike from a comfortable distance, maintaining control over the pace and flow of the fight.

However, Haddon's relative inexperience and 0% takedown defense raise questions on his adaptation to ground-based challenges posed by more seasoned opponents like Argueta. Capitalizing on his athleticism and outfighting strategy will be crucial in overcoming these nascent development gaps.

Conclusion: Tail of the Tape

The tale of Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon presents a classic clash of experience versus burgeoning talent. Argueta's submissions and ability to end fights early are strengths that could counter Haddon's striking precision and defensive capabilities. As the fight draws near, each contender’s nuanced strengths and weaknesses will shape the betting arena, offering intriguing avenues for bettors and fight fans analyzing UFC event predictions. Whether it’s Argueta’s redemption arc or Haddon’s rise, the bout promises to test both fighters thoroughly under the bright lights of Las Vegas.

Betting Odds Analysis: Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon

When it comes to UFC betting tips and deciding where to place your wager, understanding the betting odds is crucial. In the upcoming Bantamweight bout between Dan Argueta and Cody Haddon, both fighters present unique betting opportunities that sharper bettors will want to consider. Let’s dive into the odds, the history behind them, and evaluate where to place a bet for maximum potential return.

Current Betting Odds

As it stands, Cody Haddon enters the fight as the heavy favorite. The odds across various sportsbooks reveal him as a frontrunner with numbers ranging from -180 to -195. Specifically, FanDuel presents Haddon at -194, while BetRivers offers similar odds at -195, suggesting that the oddsmakers anticipate a strong performance from the Australian up-and-comer.

Conversely, Dan Argueta is pegged as the underdog. You’ll find him at attractive odds of +150 across major sportsbooks like FanDuel and BetUS. DraftKings offers slightly better odds on Argueta at +154, appealing to those looking to bet against the favorite and potentially capitalize on Argueta's grit and cage experience.

Historical Odds Fluctuations

Analyzing the odds history provides insights into bookmakers’ confidence levels and how public and professional betting sentiments shift over time. DraftKings initially set Haddon's odds at -185, which subsequently changed to -182 on BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag, reflecting a minor fluctuation but not enough to suggest a major swing in confidence. BetRivers' recent adjustment to -195 demonstrates the most significant odd tightening, suggesting Haddon's increased backing as fight night approaches.

Argueta's odds, while slightly more volatile, have shown a consistent appeal to long-shot bettors, seeing movements from +160 earlier to a steadier +150 across various platforms. This consistency somewhat implies that bettors are intrigued by Argueta’s potential rebound despite his recent losses.

Payout Potential and Probability

If you’re wagering $1,000, clarity on potential returns is key. Betting on Cody Haddon at, say, -180 (via BetUS), your potential payout, including the initial bet, would amount to roughly $1,555. Conversely, a $1,000 bet on Dan Argueta at +154 (via DraftKings), could yield a much more tempting $2,540, including your initial stake. These figures underscore the enticing nature of betting on the underdog, although it comes with inherent risks.

Probability estimates derived from current odds show Haddon with an implied probability of around 65%-67%, translating into substantial confidence in emerging victorious. Argueta’s implied probability, however, is approximately 39%-41%, signaling the challenge he faces in overcoming the odds.

Best Betting Platforms

For bettors prioritizing consistent odds updates, BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag appear most responsive, based on the frequency of updates. However, placing a bet might be more rewarding via DraftKings due to their slightly better odds on Argueta, satisfying bettors searching for that underdog payout punch. For those leaning towards Haddon, FanDuel offers a commonly favored stable platform with odds aligning with current estimates.

In conclusion, each fighter’s odds offer unique betting prospects shaped by punter confidence and fighter potential in the ring. Whether backing the favorite or an underdog, the excitement and allure of a UFC betting wager relies heavily on interpreting these odds shifts effectively, ensuring your bet aligns with both your research and your gut instinct.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez