Winner: Joel Alvarez
Confidence Score: 75Joel Alvarez has several key advantages over Drakkar Klose that suggest he may be more likely to win their match-up.
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Reach and Height Advantage: Alvarez boasts a significant reach advantage with an arm reach of 77 inches compared to Klose's 70 inches. This, coupled with his 5-inch height advantage (74 inches vs. 69 inches), allows Alvarez to effectively maintain distance and control the striking exchanges, limiting Klose's ability to close the distance and land his own shots.
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Submissions Skills: Alvarez's extraordinary submission ability is a critical factor. With 17 of his 21 wins coming by submission, he is highly proficient in grappling and finishing fights on the ground. Klose, meanwhile, has shown limitations in his takedown defense (69%) and has no wins by submission, indicating less proficiency in grappling. This could be a significant vulnerability against Alvarez, who can exploit any grappling exchanges.
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Fighting Style and Finishing Rate: Alvarez is known as a striker but has a high finishing rate with 13 first-round finishes. His aggressive style could put Klose on the back foot early in the fight. On the other hand, Klose tends to go to decision more often, indicating Alvarez may push a faster pace.
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Momentum and Recent Performances: Alvarez's recent fights are not detailed here, but his outgoing style and finish rate suggest he is keen on maintaining momentum, which is crucial in high-pressure situations.
These factors combined give Alvarez a tactical advantage in various aspects of the fight, particularly using his reach and height to his benefit and leveraging his grappling acumen to potentially finish the fight on the ground.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Joel Alvarez vs Drakkar Klose can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Covington vs Buckley can be found on the Covington vs Buckley event page.