Winner: Uros Medic
Confidence Score: 65In analyzing the fight between Punahele Soriano and Uros Medic, several key factors stand out that suggest Uros Medic is more likely to emerge victorious.
First, both fighters are coming off recent wins. However, Medic's record of 10 wins, 8 by knockout and 2 by submission, reflects a versatile skill set with a higher finish rate compared to Soriano's 9 wins with 6 by knockout and 2 by submission. Medic's ability to finish fights in the first round, with 7 such finishes, indicates an aggressive and effective style that could be a challenge for Soriano.
In terms of striking, Medic boasts a higher significant strike accuracy of 61% compared to Soriano's 53%, combined with a better significant strike defense of 58% versus Soriano's 48%. This suggests Medic is more efficient and defensively sound in striking exchanges, reducing the likelihood of absorbing significant damage.
Medic's height (73 inches) offers a slight advantage along with a slightly better ability to control distance against Soriano's 71 inches, which could support greater striking versatility and leverage.
Another compelling point is the recent record and momentum. While Soriano has been somewhat inconsistent, with 4 losses in his career, Medic has shown a pattern of rebounding well after setbacks, as seen after his loss to Myktybek Orolbai where he came back strong by defeating Tim Means. This momentum could play a crucial role in his mental preparedness and confidence heading into this fight.
While Soriano has a higher takedown accuracy (56% compared to Medic's 50%), his takedown defense is notably weaker (38% compared to Medic's 56%). This suggests that if the fight goes to the ground, Medic might have an advantage in dictating positional control.
Overall, Uros Medic appears to have a slight edge given his striking efficiency, finishing capability, recent performance recovery, and defensive skills, which could counterbalance Soriano's power and wrestling potential.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Punahele Soriano vs Uros Medic can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dern vs Ribas 2 can be found on the Dern vs Ribas 2 event page.