Winner: Justin Gaethje
Confidence Score: 82In analyzing this matchup between Justin Gaethje and Dan Hooker, several factors favor Gaethje. Both fighters have immense skills and momentum heading into the bout, but Gaethje's experience and effectiveness at top levels give him a competitive edge. His exceptional striking accuracy and striking defense (59% and 52%, respectively), coupled with his resilience and fight-ending power (20 KO wins), will likely capitalize on his aggressive tempo and reward positional dominance. Hooker brings significant height and reach advantages, alongside versatility in finishing fights via KO or submissions; however, Gaethje’s experience against elite-level competitors, as evidenced by his – 3 ranking, equips him better to handle high-stakes environments. While either fighter is capable of achieving victory, I'm leaning towards Justin Gaethje to emerge victorious in what should be a thrilling contest.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Justin Gaethje vs Dan Hooker can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Pereira vs Ankalaev can be found on the Pereira vs Ankalaev event page.