Winner: Jamahal Hill
Confidence Score: 65Jamahal Hill has a significant advantage in striking accuracy (53% vs 38%) and reach (79" arm reach vs 76.5"), which is historically a key factor in light heavyweight matchups. While both fighters are powerful finishers with high knockout rates, Hill's ability to control range and land more significant strikes per attempt gives him a technical edge. Both have strong recent wins but lost to elite champion Alex Pereira. Hill is also younger (33 vs 35), has a higher ranking, and has defended takedowns more effectively (73% vs 59%), which could be crucial if Rountree tries to mix things up. Fighters with Hill's profile—long, accurate strikers with good takedown defense—have won the majority of similar matchups in recent UFC history. However, Rountree's power and recent form mean Hill isn't a lock, but he is the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr. can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hill vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Hill vs Rountree Jr. event page.