Winner: Irina Alekseeva
Confidence Score: 74Irina Alekseeva has several key advantages in this matchup. She has more UFC experience, is seven years older and thus more seasoned, and her Sambo background provides a grappling edge over Klaudia Sygula, who has shown vulnerability in takedown defense (only 33%). Alekseeva's takedown defense is perfect (100%), and she has a higher significant strike accuracy (43% vs. 38%) and defense (49% vs. 37%). Sygula has struggled to defend strikes and was finished by KO/TKO in her UFC debut, while Alekseeva has shown the ability to finish early (3 first-round finishes). Historically, fighters with strong grappling bases and higher defensive metrics tend to outperform less defensively sound strikers in this division. Alekseeva's recent form is not ideal, but her overall skill set, experience, and defensive stats provide a clear edge over Sygula's one-dimensional approach and defensive gaps. Web search also confirms no major injuries or camp issues for Alekseeva, reinforcing her as the more reliable pick here.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Irina Alekseeva vs Klaudia Sygula can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hill vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Hill vs Rountree Jr. event page.