Winner: Ismail Naurdiev
Confidence Score: 64Ismail Naurdiev is the younger fighter at 28 compared to Junyong Park's 34, and he has a slight edge in physical attributes with a 2-inch height, 1-inch reach, and 1.5-inch leg reach advantage. Naurdiev's wrestling base, combined with a strong takedown defense rate (73%) and a higher significant strike defense (67%), will be key against Park's boxing-centric approach. Naurdiev also has a higher first round finish rate and a proven ability to go the distance, as seen by his average fight time. Historically, fighters with Naurdiev's physical and stylistic profile have a higher win rate in Middleweight matchups against older, slightly smaller boxing specialists. Park is tough and well-rounded, but his lower takedown defense (58%) and lack of finishing power in recent fights could be exploited by Naurdiev's aggressive wrestling and striking. Naurdiev's recent form and statistical advantages make him the more likely winner, though Park's durability and experience keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ismail Naurdiev vs JunYong Park can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hill vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Hill vs Rountree Jr. event page.