Winner: Curtis Blaydes
Confidence Score: 74Curtis Blaydes holds a significant experience advantage in the UFC heavyweight division, consistently fighting top contenders and maintaining a #5 ranking. His wrestling background is elite, and he has demonstrated an ability to control heavyweights with his takedowns, as evidenced by his 53% takedown accuracy and high-level ground-and-pound. Although Rizvan Kuniev has impressive regional credentials and a perfect takedown defense so far (100%), his UFC experience is limited and he has not faced anyone close to the caliber of Blaydes. Blaydes' 80-inch reach and 46-inch leg reach also give him physical advantages for controlling distance and wrestling exchanges. Historically, fighters with Blaydes' profile—wrestling base, elite experience, and physical advantages—have a high win rate against less tested heavyweights. While Kuniev's striking accuracy (72%) and takedown accuracy (75%) are notable, the step up in competition is dramatic. Unless Blaydes is caught early, his wrestling and experience should dictate the fight.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Curtis Blaydes vs Rizvan Kuniev can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hill vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Hill vs Rountree Jr. event page.