Winner: Rose Namajunas
Confidence Score: 70Rose Namajunas has a significant edge in high-level experience, having been a two-time UFC champion and fought elite competition for years. Statistically, she has better takedown defense (61% vs 44%) and striking defense (64% vs 61%), both crucial against Maverick's grappling-heavy style. While Maverick is younger and on a win streak, her takedown defense is a major liability against someone with Namajunas' well-rounded skill set. Rose's striking is cleaner and she is more proven against top 10 opposition at both strawweight and flyweight. Historically, fighters with Namajunas' experience, defensive metrics, and championship pedigree have a strong winning percentage against younger, single-discipline grapplers like Maverick. While Maverick is dangerous on the ground, Rose's submission defense and scrambling ability have held up against better submission artists. The main risk is Rose's sometimes inconsistent performances, but her skill ceiling and proven five-round cardio make her a data-driven favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.