Winner: Ricky Simon
Confidence Score: 73Ricky Simon holds a significant stylistic advantage due to his elite wrestling and strong takedown game, which historically has proven effective against strikers like Charles Jourdain. Simon's takedown accuracy (44%) and takedown defense (75%) are both much higher than Jourdain's takedown stats (21% accuracy, 47% defense), suggesting Simon will be able to dictate where the fight takes place. Simon also has a higher significant strike defense (61% vs 57%), which will help mitigate Jourdain's striking advantage. While Jourdain is dangerous with submissions and has finishing ability, Simon's wrestling-heavy approach and better defensive metrics give him a reliable path to victory, especially as fighters with similar wrestling backgrounds and stat profiles have outperformed strikers in the recent UFC bantamweight matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ricky Simon vs Charles Jourdain can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.