Winner: Islam Dulatov
Confidence Score: 68Islam Dulatov has a strong stylistic and statistical edge for a debuting prospect. At 26, he is entering his athletic prime, while Adam Fugitt is 34, an age where UFC welterweights historically see a decline in win rate, especially when facing younger, less-damaged opponents. Dulatov's significant strike accuracy (57%) is notably higher than Fugitt's (46%), and he has shown perfect takedown accuracy (100%) in his limited sample, while Fugitt's takedown defense is only 50%. Fugitt's record (10-4) and recent UFC performances show susceptibility to younger, high-pace opponents. Dulatov's Russian/German background and implied wrestling base, combined with his youth and precision, match the profile of recent successful debutants in the division. While Dulatov is untested at the UFC level, the data trend for younger, accurate, and aggressive fighters against aging, mid-tier welterweights like Fugitt is favorable. Given the stylistic matchup and the age/athleticism gap, Dulatov is the likely pick, but with moderate confidence due to his lack of UFC experience.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Poirier 3 can be found on the Holloway vs Poirier 3 event page.