Winner: Jimmy Crute
Confidence Score: 68Jimmy Crute is the younger, more well-rounded fighter with a significant grappling advantage. His takedown accuracy (53%) and high submission rate (4 wins by submission) are critical against Marcin Prachnio, who has been submitted in two of his last three losses and has a takedown defense of only 54%. Crute's average fight time is notably shorter (6:43 vs. 10:16), suggesting a more aggressive style and finishing ability (8 first-round finishes vs. Prachnio's 11). While Prachnio is the more accurate striker (54% vs. 53%) and has a slight edge in significant strike defense, Crute's ability to mix in wrestling and submissions is a key differentiator, especially since fighters with similar profiles to Prachnio (older, karate-based, lower grappling stats) have struggled against younger, aggressive MMA stylists. Crute's recent competition has also been tougher, and at 28, he is closer to his athletic prime than the 36-year-old Prachnio. Unless Crute gets caught by Prachnio's power (11 KO wins), his path to victory via takedowns and ground control is strong.
Live odds
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