Winner: Tagir Ulanbekov
Confidence Score: 70Tagir Ulanbekov is a proven, ranked flyweight with a strong wrestling base and significant UFC experience, holding a 16-2 record and #10 divisional ranking. Statistically, he has a clear grappling edge: his takedown accuracy (47%) and submission wins (7) are both superior to Azat Maksum's (22% takedown accuracy, 7 submission wins but against lower competition). Ulanbekov's significant strike accuracy (47%) is also much higher than Maksum's (24%), suggesting he is more efficient and effective in exchanges. Both fighters have identical height, reach, and similar age, but Ulanbekov's average fight time is shorter, indicating more control and finishing ability. Maksum is a talented striker with a solid record, but his UFC sample is limited and his striking accuracy and defense are both low for the division. Historically, fighters with Ulanbekov's style, experience, and stats have a higher win rate in similar matchups, especially when facing newer strikers with lower takedown defense. Unless Maksum can keep the fight standing and outpoint Ulanbekov, the Dagestani's grappling and experience should carry him to victory.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Tagir Ulanbekov vs Azat Maksum can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hill vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Hill vs Rountree Jr. event page.