Winner: Cody Garbrandt
Confidence Score: 62Cody Garbrandt is the pick due to his superior finishing ability and speed, with 11 of his 14 wins by knockout and 8 first-round finishes. He is younger (33 vs 37), which is a significant factor in bantamweight, where aging often leads to a decline in speed and durability. Both fighters have similar takedown defense (Garbrandt 80%, Barcelos 82%) and significant strike defense (both 60%), but Garbrandt's power and hand speed are historically more decisive in this weight class. Barcelos is technically sound and accurate with his striking (53% accuracy), but his recent losses to younger, faster opponents and a KO loss to Umar Nurmagomedov indicate vulnerability to fast, explosive strikers. Garbrandt's average fight time is shorter, indicating a higher finishing rate, and historically, fighters with his combination of youth, knockout power, and wrestling background have outperformed aging, technical jiu-jitsu specialists in the UFC bantamweight division. However, Garbrandt's inconsistent chin and recent form keep the confidence moderate rather than high.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.