Hill vs Rountree Jr. > Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott > Fight Analysis

Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott UFC Betting Odds & Preview

Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott UFC Betting Odds & Preview

Published

Mon Jun 09 2025

Last Updated

Mon Jun 09 2025

Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott Fight Breakdown

Event: UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr. – Preliminary Card
Date & Time: Saturday, June 21, 2025, 8:00 PM (local time) / 16:00 UTC
Venue: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

As the first preliminary bout of the evening gets underway in the storied halls of the Baku Crystal Hall, all eyes will be on the Welterweight showdown between Oban Elliott and Seokhyeon Ko. With the Preliminary Card slated to kick off at 8:00 PM local time on June 21, this clash sets the tone for a night of fast-paced action and high-stakes competition.

Context and Stakes

This fight represents a pivotal moment for both men. For Oban Elliott (12-2-0), the Welsh contender has already made a splash since his UFC debut in February 2024, compiling three straight wins—two by unanimous decision and a third-round TKO over Bassil Hafez in his last outing. Elliott’s impressive 63% significant strike defense and 73% takedown defense make him a well-rounded threat in every phase of the fight. Standing at 6'0" with a 72" reach, he uses his physical tools and wrestling pedigree to control distance and dictat​e where the fight takes place.

On the opposite side of the Octagon, Seokhyeon Ko (1-0-0) enters the UFC with all the enthusiasm of a newcomer and the hunger of an underdog. Making his promotional debut on May 31, 2025, Ko impressed fans and analysts alike with a measured performance, showcasing 52% striking accuracy and a calm composure under pressure. Though his sample size is limited at just one professional win, the South Korean standout is hungry to prove he belongs at this level.

Betting Lines: Favorite vs. Underdog

The sportsbooks have spoken, and the consensus is clear: Oban Elliott is the heavy favorite at -325, while Seokhyeon Ko lines up as the underdog at +275 (BetOnline.ag). Elliott’s steady climb up the rankings and his demonstrated ability to mix wrestling with precision striking have earned him significant backing from bettors. Conversely, Ko’s lack of UFC experience and uncertainty over his ground game keep his odds firmly in underdog territory.

What to Watch For

Elliott’s Wrestling Control: Will he impose his 50% takedown accuracy and stifle Ko’s offense early?
Ko’s Striking Output: Can the newcomer maintain distance and connect with his 52% sig strike accuracy against a seasoned opponent?
Cardio & Fight Pace: Elliott averages just under 14 minutes per fight; Ko has only gone the distance once. Which fighter will dictate the pace as the championship rounds approach?

With so much on the line for both competitors, this preliminary matchup promises fireworks from the opening bell. Can Oban Elliott continue his unbeaten UFC run, or will Seokhyeon Ko pull off a stunning upset in his second professional outing? Fans won’t want to miss how this Welterweight tussle unfolds on June 21.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Hill vs Rountree Jr. can be found on the Hill vs Rountree Jr. event page.

Matchup and Fighter Profiles

Oban Elliott – The Well-Rounded Contender

Age: 27
Country: Wales (Born in Stroud, England)
Fighting Style: Mixed Martial Artist with a strong wrestling pedigree

Recent Form (Last 3 Fights):

  • Nov. 16, 2024: Defeated Bassil Hafez via TKO (Round 3, 0:40)
  • July 27, 2024: Defeated Preston Parsons by Unanimous Decision (3 rounds)
  • Feb. 17, 2024: Defeated Val Woodburn by Unanimous Decision (3 rounds)

Elliott has blasted onto the UFC scene with a perfect 3–0 run since his debut. His victories showcase both durability—going the distance twice—and finishing ability, ending Hafez with strikes in the third. Standing 6’0″ with a 72″ reach, Elliott mixes crisp boxing with takedowns, keeping opponents guessing.

Strengths:

  • Elite Defense: 63% significant strike defense makes him difficult to hit cleanly.
  • Wrestling Control: 50% takedown accuracy coupled with 73% takedown defense allows him to dictate where the fight takes place.
  • Cardio & Durability: An average fight time of 13:55 indicates he can maintain pace deep into three rounds, while still retaining power to finish late.

Weaknesses:

  • Moderate Power: Only 3 knockout wins in 12 career victories suggests he lacks one-punch knockout potency.
  • Striking Efficiency: 49% significant strike accuracy is solid but leaves room for counterattacking foes who capitalize on openings.

Seokhyeon Ko – The Hungry Debutant

Age: 31
Country: South Korea
Fighting Style: MMA (striking-oriented, based on available metrics)

Recent Form (Last Pro Fight):

  • May 31, 2025: Made UFC debut, earning a decision victory after three competitive rounds

As a UFC newcomer, Ko brings only one professional victory into this clash—but what a statement it was. In his first Octagon appearance, he went the distance, showcasing a composed striking attack and the gas tank to maintain activity over 15 minutes.

Strengths:

  • Striking Precision: 52% significant strike accuracy edges out Elliott’s rate, indicating Ko picks his spots well.
  • Endurance: His lone fight went the full 15 minutes without noticeable drops in output, boding well against a tested wrestler.

Weaknesses:

  • Limited Sample Size: One pro fight offers scant film for game-planning; there’s uncertainty about Ko’s adaptability under pressure.
  • Defensive Vulnerabilities: 57% strike defense leaves him more open to Elliott’s volume and power.
  • Wrestling Deficit: A 33% takedown accuracy and just 50% takedown defense mean Ko could struggle if Elliott enforces grappling exchanges.

Head-to-Head Dynamics:

  • Elliott will look to leverage his wrestling acumen and defensive prowess to stifle Ko’s rhythm.
  • Ko must keep the fight standing, use his striking accuracy to pick apart Elliott, and avoid extended grappling scrambles.

This clash of experience versus potential, wrestling versus striking, will reveal which game plan prevails early on the Baku prelims. Fans should watch how Ko’s precision holds up under sustained pressure and whether Elliott can impose his grappling will against a fighter with fresh legs and sharp counters.

Betting Odds & Line Movement

Current Betting Lines

Oban Elliott: –325 (favorite)
Seokhyeon Ko: +275 (underdog)
Best Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag currently offers these lines, and their odds are among the most competitive on the market for this bout.

Oban Elliott enters this Welterweight tilt as a heavy favorite, with bettors staking significant sums on his perfect 3–0 UFC run. Seokhyeon Ko, despite his impressive debut, remains a clear underdog at +275, presenting an attractive payout for risk-takers.

Odds Movement & Sharp Action

Since the lines opened early on June 7, both fighters have seen significant shifts:

  • Oban Elliott (–200 → –325):
    • June 7, 00:40 UTC: –200
    • June 7, 13:30 UTC: –230
    • June 7, 13:40 UTC: –240
    • June 8, 11:49 UTC: –245
    • June 8, 13:40 UTC: –255
    • June 9, 03:40 UTC: –275
    • June 9, 09:39 UTC: –325

    Elliott’s line has gradually shortened, moving from –200 at open to –325 in just two days. This 125-point swing underscores heavy betting volume on the Welsh wrestler, driven by confidence in his defensive metrics and finishing ability.

  • Seokhyeon Ko (+170 → +275):
    • June 7, 00:40 UTC: +170
    • June 7, 13:30 UTC: +195
    • June 7, 13:40 UTC: +205
    • June 8, 11:49 UTC: +210
    • June 8, 13:40 UTC: +215
    • June 9, 03:40 UTC: +235
    • June 9, 09:39 UTC: +275

    Ko’s underdog line has lengthened from +170 to +275, reflecting a market consensus that he trails behind in the experience department. Bettors appear reluctant to back an untested UFC talent against a proven finisher.

Implied Probabilities

Oban Elliott: ~77% chance to win
Seokhyeon Ko: ~27% chance to win

These figures illustrate the consensus view: Elliott is expected to control the action, while Ko must overcome substantial odds to capture a career-defining upset.

Potential Payout Scenarios

If you placed $1,000 on either fighter at the current lines:

  • Oban Elliott (–325):
    Total Return: ~$1,308
    Profit: ~$308

  • Seokhyeon Ko (+275):
    Total Return: ~$3,750
    Profit: ~$2,750

For bettors seeking maximum upside, Ko’s +275 line offers a sizeable payday. However, the heavy market support for Elliott suggests confidence in his ability to implement a winning game plan.

Key Takeaways

  • Elliott’s line collapse from –200 to –325 signals heavy backing on the favorite’s wrestling and defensive acumen.
  • Ko’s increasing underdog status (+170 → +275) underlines market skepticism about his inexperience and ground game.
  • BetOnline.ag remains the go-to sportsbook for the sharpest lines on this preliminary showdown.

With the lines shifting dramatically in Elliott’s favor, bettors must decide between locking in a shorter favorite for a modest return or gambling on Ko’s high-risk, high-reward profile. Whichever side you choose, these odds reflect a matchup that has captured the attention—and wallets—of fight night bettors around the globe.

AI Pick: Oban Elliott

Click the buttons below to read more about why the AI picked Oban Elliott, or see all the AI picks for Hill vs Rountree Jr.. Our AI is trained on our fight data and picks winners for every fight. You can track all the picks, accuracy, and profit for free on our ai-picks page.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez

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