Winner: Karol Rosa
Confidence Score: 70Karol Rosa is the more experienced and proven fighter at a higher level, with 18 UFC wins and a #10 ranking in the division. She boasts a significant edge in grappling, with a 46% takedown accuracy and 70% takedown defense, compared to Cornolle's 11% takedown accuracy and 50% takedown defense. Rosa also lands slightly more accurate significant strikes (56% vs. 54%) and has a longer UFC tenure, which correlates with better performance against similar ranked opponents. While Cornolle is dangerous with her Muay Thai and has notable knockout power, her low takedown defense and accuracy are concerning against a well-rounded fighter like Rosa. Historically, fighters with Rosa's profile (younger, more UFC experience, higher grappling stats) win the majority of these matchups against older, striking-heavy opponents with less grappling. Recent form shows both have wins and losses, but Rosa's experience against higher-tier competition gives her a strong edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Taira vs Park can be found on the Taira vs Park event page.