Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore Fight Analysis
Introduction
On Saturday, August 2, 2025, fight fans will descend on the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada, for a thrilling Middleweight clash kicking off the preliminary card of UFC Fight Night: Albazi vs Taira. The octagon doors open at 10:00 PM ET, and at the top of the preliminary slate, two contrasting styles collide as Rodolfo Vieira takes on Tresean Gore. This bout carries significant intrigue: the veteran Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu ace Vieira enters as a sizable favorite at -255, while the sizzling American striker Gore is pegged as the +215 underdog, according to BetOnline.ag odds released July 21, 2025.
Event Details
- Date: Saturday, August 2, 2025
- Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
- Card Position: Preliminary Card, Main Event of Prelims
- Local Start Time: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT
This matchup falls squarely in the Middleweight division, offering a stylistic conundrum: a submission specialist with an imposing 9 submission wins in ten UFC victories versus a well-rounded boxer with a burgeoning ground game, boasting a 75% takedown success rate.
Fighters at a Glance
Rodolfo Vieira (10–3–0)
- Age: 35 | Height: 6'0" | Reach: 73"
- Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
- UFC Debut: August 10, 2019
- Key Stats: 100% Takedown Defense, 56% Significant Strike Accuracy, 9 Submission Wins
Tresean Gore (6–3–0)
- Age: 30 | Height: 6'0" | Reach: 75"
- Fighting Style: Boxing
- UFC Debut: February 5, 2022
- Key Stats: 75% Takedown Accuracy, 83% Takedown Defense, 47% Significant Strike Accuracy
Vieira’s grappling pedigree is virtually unmatched in the division. With six first-round finishes—five by submission—he consistently forces opponents into perilous positions. Gore, meanwhile, counters with a boxing base sharpened by early UFC victories, including a slick submission win over Antonio Trocoli, showcasing his evolving ground prowess.
Betting Outlook
At -255, Vieira is the clear moneyline favorite, reflecting bettors’ confidence in his ability to impose grappling dominance. Gore’s +215 underdog price, however, presents intrigue: he has demonstrated resilience in losses, responding to setbacks by refining his skill set. An accurate boxer with improving takedown work could disrupt Vieira’s rhythm, especially if the fight remains upright and the Brazilian cannot secure early grips.
Why This Fight Matters
This bout is pivotal for both men’s trajectories. A decisive victory for Vieira reestablishes him as a top Middleweight contender and reasserts his submission supremacy. For Gore, an upset not only boosts his stock but cements him as a dark-horse threat capable of mixing striking and wrestling at the highest level. Expect fireworks, strategy shifts, and a potential clash of styles that could steal the show on a stacked prelim card.
Stay tuned as we dive deeper into the breakdown of strengths, weaknesses, and tactical keys that will determine whether Vieira’s grappling wizardry or Gore’s striking evolution prevails in this compelling Middleweight tilt.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Taira vs Park can be found on the Taira vs Park event page.
Matchup & Fighter Profiles
Rodolfo Vieira: The Submission Master
Background
- Age: 35
- Country: Brazil
- Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
- UFC Debut: August 10, 2019
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
- Loss vs Andre Petroski (Decision – Unanimous) – Feb. 15, 2025
- Win vs Armen Petrosyan (Submission – R1, 4:48) – Feb. 10, 2024
- Win vs Cody Brundage (Submission – R2, 1:28) – Apr. 29, 2023
- Loss vs Chris Curtis (Decision – Unanimous) – Jun. 25, 2022
- Win vs Dustin Stoltzfus (Submission – R3, 1:54) – Jul. 17, 2021
Vieira has alternated highs and lows, rattling off three first‐round submissions since 2021 but dropping two decisions to tough, well‐rounded opponents. His ability to finish fights early remains elite, yet he has shown vulnerability when unable to secure takedowns against high‐level wrestlers.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
- Elite Grappling & Submissions: 9 of 10 UFC wins by submission, six in Round 1.
- Perfect Takedown Defense (100%): Opponents have never grounded him in the Octagon.
- High Strike Accuracy (56%): Landed over half of significant strikes.
- Durability & Fight IQ: Rarely panics under pressure, uses jiu-jitsu to dictate pace.
Weaknesses
- Takedown Offense (27%): Struggles to get opponents to the mat against strong wrestlers.
- Strike Defense (49%): Allows nearly half of incoming significant strikes.
- Endurance in Deep Waters: Longer bouts reduce his submission success and open striking exchanges.
Tresean Gore: The Emerging Striker
Background
- Age: 30
- Country: United States
- Fighting Style: Boxing
- UFC Debut: February 5, 2022
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
- Loss vs Marco Tulio (KO/TKO – R2, 3:16) – Apr. 12, 2025
- Win vs Antonio Trocoli (Submission – R1, 1:23) – Nov. 9, 2024
- Win vs Josh Fremd (Submission – R2, 0:49) – Oct. 29, 2022
- Loss vs Cody Brundage (KO/TKO – R1, 3:50) – Jul. 9, 2022
- Loss vs Bryan Battle (Decision – Unanimous) – Feb. 5, 2022
After a rocky UFC start (1–3 in first four), Gore has shown flashes of finishing prowess with three early-round stops. However, recent KO losses highlight potential holes in his defensive armor, particularly against heavy hitters.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
- Powerful Boxing Base: 47% significant strike accuracy, solid jab and combinations.
- Takedown Prowess (75%): Unexpectedly strong wrestling, enabling him to mix levels.
- Takedown Defense (83%): Keeps fights upright or scrambles back quickly when taken down.
- Finishing Instincts: Three first-round finishes across six UFC fights, five career stoppages.
Weaknesses
- Defensive Durability: Conceded two KO/TKOs in last five; 40% strike defense signals trouble with pressure.
- Inconsistent Card Performances: Peaks with early finishes but fades in drawn-out battles.
- Ground Transitions: While his takedown numbers are strong, his submission IQ lags behind elite grapplers.
Head-to-Head Implications
This matchup pits Vieira’s world-class submission craft and ironclad takedown defense against Gore’s rising power punching and budding wrestling. Vieira must avoid Gore’s boxing range and drag the fight to the mat, where his jiu-jitsu can shine. Gore, conversely, will aim to keep the bout upright, land heavy hands, and use takedowns to sap Vieira’s energy. Stylistically, it’s a classic striker-versus-grappler clash—expect the defining moments to hinge on whether Gore can disrupt Vieira’s entries or Vieira can lock in a slick takedown and finish sequence.
Betting Odds & Line Movement
Current Betting Odds
As of July 21, 2025, the betting market at BetOnline.ag shows a clear favorite and underdog for this Middleweight showdown:
- Rodolfo Vieira: –255 (favorite)
- Tresean Gore: +215 (underdog)
Vieira’s –255 line implies that he is heavily favored to impose his grappling dominance, while Gore’s +215 price reflects the market’s recognition of his power striking and solid takedown work, casting him as the live underdog with upside.
Odds History & Line Movement
Tracking the line movement over the past 24 hours reveals modest but telling adjustments:
BetOnline.ag
- July 20, 18:00 UTC: Vieira –250, Gore +210
- July 20, 19:09 UTC: Vieira drifts to –260, Gore spikes to +220
- July 21, 08:29 UTC: Lines settle at Vieira –255, Gore +215
Key takeaways:
- Vieira’s Line: Opened at –250, briefly shortened to –260 (suggesting early sharp money on the Brazilian), then eased back to –255. The slight pullback indicates balanced action and sportsbooks managing liability after sizeable bets.
- Gore’s Line: Conversely, Gore moved from +210 to +220 before tightening to +215. That peak at +220 hints at initial underdog support, perhaps from bettors banking on his improved wrestling and finishing instincts.
Overall, these relatively contained swings (<10 cents) demonstrate steady confidence in Vieira paired with continued respect for Gore’s upset potential. No dramatic line collapse or surge suggests both camps remain active in influencing the market.
Best Sportsbook to Bet On
For this bout, BetOnline.ag emerges as the top choice:
- Early line releases for both fighters.
- Competitive juice, especially on the underdog +215.
- Transparent odds history accessible to bettors aiming to identify sharp action and line reversals.
Bettors seeking the tightest spread on Vieira or the highest payout for Gore should lock in their wagers sooner rather than later, as further news (weigh-in results, injury reports) could nudge the numbers again.
Potential Payouts & Implied Probabilities
If you were to stake $1,000 today, here’s what you’d see:
-
Rodolfo Vieira (–255):
- Total Payout: $1,392.16
- Implied Win Probability: ~71.8%
-
Tresean Gore (+215):
- Total Payout: $3,150.00
- Implied Win Probability: ~31.7%
These figures encapsulate the market’s belief in Vieira’s favoriteship and Gore’s role as the high-reward underdog. While Vieira’s implied chance of winning hovers near three-quarters, Gore’s one-in-three opportunity offers enticing value for bettors seeking an upset.
Conclusion
The line movement for Vieira vs. Gore has been measured, reflecting bettors’ ongoing evaluation of styles and recent form. Vieira’s status as a grappling powerhouse has earned him clear favorite status, yet Gore’s price remains attractive enough to lure contrarian wagers. With steady action on both sides and minimal line volatility so far, now is the prime window to strike before late shifts occur ahead of fight night.
AI Pick: Rodolfo Vieira
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