Winner: Piera Rodriguez
Confidence Score: 62Piera Rodriguez has a more well-rounded statistical profile and a stylistic edge. She has a higher takedown accuracy (51% vs 25%), better takedown defense (67% vs 64%), and a significant edge in significant strike defense (58% vs 51%). Rodriguez is also slightly bigger with a longer reach (63.5" arm, 36" leg) than Souza (63" arm, 35" leg), which can help in striking exchanges and clinch situations. While Ketlen Souza has more knockout wins and a higher significant strike accuracy (59%), she tends to be less defensively sound and has shown vulnerability to submissions. Rodriguez's durability (never finished) and ability to go the distance (higher average fight time) also favor her in a matchup that could be competitive and go the full three rounds. Historical data on similar strawweight matchups shows that fighters with Rodriguez's control metrics and defensive stats win a majority of the time, especially when they can mix in takedowns and defend well against volume strikers.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Taira vs Park can be found on the Taira vs Park event page.