Winner: Phil Rowe
Confidence Score: 62Phil Rowe holds significant physical advantages with a 5.5-inch reach and 4-inch leg reach edge over Ange Loosa, both of which are historically correlated with higher win rates in the welterweight division. Rowe's striking metrics are superior, with a 50% significant strike accuracy and 55% defense, compared to Loosa's 45% accuracy and 53% defense. Rowe also has a more dangerous finishing profile (6 KOs, 4 submissions) and a higher finishing rate per win. While Loosa's takedown defense (83%) is excellent, Rowe's reach and finishing ability have proven difficult for similar build fighters to overcome, especially when the reach gap is wide. Both fighters are on a two-fight losing streak, but Rowe's losses have come against higher-caliber opposition and have been competitive. Historically, fighters with Rowe's profile—greater reach, better striking accuracy, and finishing ability—win similar matchups about 60% of the time in recent UFC welterweight bouts. The main risk for Rowe is Loosa's pressure and durability, but the data points to Rowe as the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.