Winner: Ricky Simon
Confidence Score: 80Ricky Simon has a significant edge in both experience and skill set compared to Cameron Smotherman. Simon holds a 21-6 record with 7 KO/TKO and 4 submission wins, and he has consistently faced and defeated higher-level competition in the UFC. His wrestling base is a major advantage, with a 44% takedown accuracy and a strong 75% takedown defense, which is crucial against an opponent like Smotherman who has 0% takedown accuracy and only 50% takedown defense. Simon's striking is more accurate (44% vs 37% for Smotherman), and their strike defense is identical. Ricky's ability to mix striking and wrestling, combined with his proven cardio (avg fight time 12:22), gives him a clear path to control where the fight takes place. Historically, fighters with Simon's blend of experience, wrestling, and finishing ability have a high win rate over less experienced, one-dimensional strikers in the bantamweight division. Unless Simon is significantly diminished from recent losses (no evidence of this from recent performances or news), he should be able to dictate the fight and win either by decision or finish.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.