Winner: Jared Cannonier
Confidence Score: 62Jared Cannonier is the more proven middleweight with significant experience against top-ranked opponents in the division, while Michael Page is a recent welterweight addition with only a few UFC fights. Cannonier's power (11 KOs), durability, and ability to go five rounds (13:51 avg. fight time) are proven at 185 lbs, and his takedown accuracy (44%) could exploit Page's average takedown defense (64%). While Page is a dynamic striker with an excellent 62% significant strike accuracy and a 79-inch reach, his level of opposition at middleweight is untested, and historically, fighters moving up in weight with a similar age profile (Page is 37, Cannonier is 41) have struggled against established, ranked middleweights. Cannonier's 57% strike defense and ability to mix in wrestling should allow him to neutralize Page's movement and striking, especially over three rounds. While Page is dangerous early, Cannonier's experience, power, and proven success at the weight class give him the edge.
Live odds
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