King Green vs Diego Ferreira - AI generated fight pick

King Green holds significant statistical and stylistic advantages in this matchup. He is younger (38 vs 40), which is notable given the historical decline in win rates for lightweights over 38, and especially over 40. Green has superior striking metrics, with a 53% significant strike accuracy and 62% defense, compared to Ferreira's 41% accuracy and 56% defense, indicating a clear edge in both offensive and defensive striking. Green also has a higher takedown defense rate (74% vs 58%), which is crucial since Ferreira's best path to victory is via grappling. While Ferreira has a 3-inch reach advantage, Green's output, durability, and ability to avoid takedowns historically favor him in similar matchups. Both fighters have mixed recent results, but Green's higher volume, better defense, and greater finishing ability (20 finishes, 11 in the first round) make him the more likely winner, especially considering fighters with his profile have outperformed similar-aged opponents in the last 100 fights.