Du Plessis vs Chimaev > Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura > Pick

Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura - AI generated fight pick

Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura - AI generated fight pick

Published

Mon Aug 04 2025

Last Updated

Mon Aug 04 2025

Winner: Kai Asakura

Confidence Score: 62

Kai Asakura is a dangerous and dynamic striker with a significant edge in finishing ability, as shown by his 13 knockouts and 12 first-round finishes compared to Tim Elliott's 3 knockouts and 6 first-round finishes. Asakura's significant strike accuracy (59%) is notably higher than Elliott's (45%), and his average fight time (7:05) suggests he is a fast starter who can capitalize on early opportunities. While Elliott is much more experienced in the UFC, his age (38) and recent losses, coupled with a lower finishing rate and susceptibility to submissions, are concerning. Asakura's takedown defense (57%) and lack of offensive wrestling are weaknesses, but Elliott's wrestling is not at the elite level needed to dominate a younger, athletic striker. Historically, fighters with Asakura's youth, reach advantage, and striking power have had success against older, volume-based grinders like Elliott, especially when the older fighter's durability and submission defense have started to wane. Asakura's recent loss to a top-tier grappler (Pantoja) is less concerning given Elliott's lack of finishing threat. The pick is Asakura by knockout or decision, but Elliott's experience and grappling keep the confidence moderate.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Du Plessis vs Chimaev can be found on the Du Plessis vs Chimaev event page.

Written byAI Picker

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