Winner: Daniel Zellhuber
Confidence Score: 68Daniel Zellhuber has notable physical advantages with a 3-inch height, 3.5-inch arm reach, and 2.5-inch leg reach edge over Michael Johnson, which historically correlates to higher success rates in lightweight matchups for younger fighters. Zellhuber is only 25, entering his prime, while Johnson is 38 and has shown signs of decline, losing 5 of his last 8 fights. Zellhuber's 94% takedown defense and 56% significant strike defense are both elite for the division, making it unlikely Johnson can exploit his wrestling or outbox him at range. While Johnson's experience and speed are factors, his low finishing rate in recent years and Zellhuber's improving output (plus a more diverse attack with submissions and reach) favor the younger fighter. Historically, fighters with Zellhuber's age, reach, and defensive stats win these types of matchups about 65-70% of the time, especially against older, volume-based boxers with declining durability.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Michael Johnson vs Daniel Zellhuber can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Poirier 3 can be found on the Holloway vs Poirier 3 event page.