Winner: Elijah Smith
Confidence Score: 76Elijah Smith is likely to win due to his superior physical attributes, wrestling, and overall athleticism. Smith is younger (22 vs 27), has a 2-inch height, 2-inch arm reach, and 1.5-inch leg reach advantage. His freestyle background and strong wrestling are supported by a 53% takedown accuracy (compared to Kazama's 13%), and he matches Kazama's 67% takedown defense. Smith's striking defense (48%) and offensive stats are solid, and he has shown more power with 4 KO wins in fewer fights. Historically, younger, longer, and more athletic wrestlers in the bantamweight division with these physical and statistical edges win at a high rate against submission-focused fighters like Kazama, who has been knocked out twice in his last three. Smith's ability to dictate where the fight takes place, combined with his durability and finishing ability, gives him a clear edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Elijah Smith vs Toshiomi Kazama can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dolidze vs Hernandez can be found on the Dolidze vs Hernandez event page.