Winner: Miles Johns
Confidence Score: 62Miles Johns is the more experienced UFC fighter, with a longer tenure (since 2019) and a strong defensive profile, notably his 68% significant strike defense and 82% takedown defense, both well above divisional average. He is a durable boxer with a slight edge in significant strike accuracy (44%) and a proven ability to neutralize opponents' grappling. Jean Matsumoto is a promising young prospect with a solid Muay Thai base and a strong submission game, but his takedown defense (58%) and significant strike defense (46%) are both below average for the division, which could leave him vulnerable to Johns' pressure and counter-punching. Historically, fighters with Johns' defensive stats and UFC experience have a higher win rate against newer, less defensively sound opponents. While Matsumoto's youth and finishing upside are notable, Johns' style, experience, and defensive edge make him the more likely winner in a competitive matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Miles Johns vs Jean Matsumoto can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dolidze vs Hernandez can be found on the Dolidze vs Hernandez event page.