Winner: Petr Yan
Confidence Score: 78Petr Yan is the more proven and battle-tested fighter at the elite level of the bantamweight division. He holds a significant experience advantage, having faced the best in the world and shown high-level durability, striking, and wrestling. Yan's significant strike accuracy (54%) and defense (59%) are both better than McGhee's (48% accuracy, 65% defense), and Yan's takedown accuracy (49%) and defense (85%) are elite for the division. While McGhee is a dangerous finisher with 8 KOs in 10 wins and a perfect takedown defense so far, his level of competition has been much lower and his average fight time is much shorter, suggesting less experience in deep waters. Historically, fighters with Yan's experience, output, and defensive stats overwhelmingly win against rising contenders with McGhee's profile. Yan's recent losses have come only to the very top of the division, while McGhee has not faced anyone near Yan's caliber. Unless Yan is significantly diminished, he should be able to outwork McGhee over three rounds or potentially finish him late by mixing striking and grappling. The main risk is McGhee's knockout power, but Yan's durability and technical edge give him the clear advantage.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Whittaker vs de Ridder can be found on the Whittaker vs de Ridder event page.