Winner: Johnny Walker
Confidence Score: 65Johnny Walker holds a significant size and reach advantage (82" reach, 78" height vs 75.5" reach, 74" height for Zhang Mingyang), which is historically a major factor in light heavyweight matchups. Walker's UFC experience is far deeper, with more fights against top-15 competition, and he has shown the ability to finish fights both early and in later rounds (17 first-round finishes, 16 KOs). While Zhang is on an impressive win streak with fast, first-round finishes, his level of competition has been lower, and his takedown defense (50%) is a potential liability against bigger, more dynamic athletes. Walker's takedown defense (57%) and 100% takedown accuracy, though based on low attempts, suggest he may be able to mix in grappling if needed. Historically, fighters with Walker's reach, experience, and finishing ability win a majority of similar UFC matchups, especially when facing a rising but less-tested finisher like Zhang. However, Zhang's power and momentum make this a volatile fight, so while Walker is the pick, the confidence is moderate.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.