Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija: UFC Odds & AI Pick

Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija fight breakdown

Introduction

On September 6, 2025, at precisely 4:00 PM UTC, the Accor Arena in Paris, France, will play host to one of the most intriguing heavyweight clashes on the UFC Fight Night preliminary card: Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija. As the promotion rolls into Europe for the highly anticipated Imavov vs Borralho event, Tybura and Delija will square off in a classic veteran-versus-upstart bout. This matchup not only carries significant implications for the heavyweight division’s pecking order but also highlights a fascinating stylistic contrast between a seasoned UFC stalwart and a hungry newcomer looking to make his mark on the sport’s biggest stage.

The Favorites and the Underdogs

• Favorite:
  • Marcin Tybura (Record: 27–9–0) comes in as the clear betting favorite, sporting odds around –135 at top sportsbooks like Caesars and DraftKings. The Polish heavyweight, currently ranked No. 7 in the division, boasts a well-rounded arsenal that includes ten knockout victories, seven submissions, and an average fight time of 11 minutes and 15 seconds. A UFC veteran since April 2016, “Tybur” has displayed iron-chinned durability, slick grappling transitions, and a penchant for late-round surges that wear down opponents.
• Underdog:
  • Ante Delija (Record: 17–3–0) enters as the underdog, listed around +115 by Caesars and +110 by BetMGM. The 34-year-old Croatian powerhouse is making just his third appearance under the UFC banner but carries an undefeated stoppage streak from regional promotions. Standing 6’4” with a 79-inch reach, Delija relies on explosive wrestling entries, heavy hands, and relentless forward pressure. Horses for courses often underestimate his grappling pedigree—a decorated amateur wrestler with strong submission chops.

Why This Fight Matters

1. Division Seeding:
   • A victory for Tybura keeps him firmly in the top 10 of the heavyweight rankings and positions him for potential matchups against rising contenders or rematches with division stalwarts.
   • A win for Delija would catapult him into the heavyweight conversation and likely earn him a leap into the divisional top 15, paving the way for a marquee matchup in early 2026.
2. Styles Make Fights:
   • Tybura’s patience, counter-striking accuracy (49%), and strong takedown defense (75%) contrast sharply with Delija’s forward-leaning aggression and finishing instincts.
3. Experience vs. Momentum:
   • The 39-year-old Tybura brings nearly a decade of UFC experience and has finished 11 fights in the first round, while the younger Delija’s momentum and hunger could spell trouble if he can impose his pace early.

As Paris prepares for another electric night of UFC action, all eyes will turn to the preliminary card’s heavyweight highlight. Whether Marcin Tybura can leverage his veteran savvy or Ante Delija seizes the moment as a future contender, this bout promises fireworks—and crucial stakes—for both men.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Imavov vs Borralho can be found on the Imavov vs Borralho event page.

Fighter Profiles & Matchup Breakdown

Marcin Tybura – “Tybur”

Age: 39 • Country: Poland • Fighting Style: Well-rounded MMA (striker-grappler hybrid)

Background & Career Highlights

• UFC Debut: April 10, 2016
• Hometown: Uniejow, Poland
• Professional Record: 27-9-0 (10 KOs, 7 submissions)
• Current UFC Ranking: #7 in the Heavyweight Division

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

1. Win vs. Mick Parkin (Mar. 22, 2025) – Decision (Unanimous), 3 rounds
2. Win vs. Jhonata Diniz (Nov. 16, 2024) – TKO (Doctor’s Stoppage), Round 2
3. Loss vs. Serghei Spivac (Aug. 10, 2024) – Submission (RNC), Round 1
4. Win vs. Tai Tuivasa (Mar. 16, 2024) – Submission (RNC), Round 1
5. Loss vs. Tom Aspinall (Jul. 22, 2023) – KO/TKO, Round 1

Over his last five outings, Tybura holds a 3-2 slate, demonstrating his capacity to both finish opponents early and grind out decisions against rising talent.

Strengths

• Finishing Prowess: 17 stoppages (10 by knockout, 7 by submission) in 27 wins.
• Striking Efficiency: 49% significant strike accuracy and 55% defense, allowing him to counter-strike effectively.
• Grappling Defense: 75% takedown defense underscored by veteran-level scrambling and balance.
• Cardio & Durability: Average fight time of 11:15 showcases his ability to maintain pace deep into bouts.

Weaknesses

• Vulnerability to Power: Two of his three losses in the past two years came by finish in Round 1, indicating susceptibility against explosive heavy hitters.
• Age Factor: At 39, a slight decline in speed and recovery could emerge, especially if he faces sustained pressure.
• Moderate Takedown Offense: 34% takedown accuracy suggests he may struggle to dictate grappling exchanges against elite wrestlers.

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Ante Delija – “Rasta”

Age: 34 • Country: Croatia • Fighting Style: Wrestling-based power striker

Background & Career Highlights

• UFC Debut: Oct. 17, 2020 (no official UFC bouts recorded to date)
• Hometown: Dubrovnik, Croatia
• Professional Record: 17-3-0 (Regionally, double-digit stoppages)
• Amateur Pedigree: Decorated wrestler with solid submission groundwork

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

While Delija’s UFC ledger remains blank, his regional résumé tells a compelling story:

• 4-Fight Winning Streak: Secured three first-round knockouts and one submission over his last quartet of bouts.
• Knockout Artist: Heavy hands and forward pressure have earned him a reputation for explosive finishes early in fights.

Strengths

• Reach & Physicality: Standing 6’4” with a 79” reach, he leverages size to control distance and land power shots.
• Wrestling Base: Amateur credentials translate into dangerous takedown entries and top-control potential.
• Finishing Instincts: High stoppage rate signals an ability to close space quickly and capitalize on opponent mistakes.
• Pressure Fighter: Relentless forward movement disrupts opponent rhythm and forces them into defensive mode.

Weaknesses

• Unproven at UFC Level: All major UFC statistical categories remain untested—skepticism surrounds how his game will translate.
• Defensive Metrics Unknown: Without recorded significant strike defense or takedown defense percentages, gaps in his defense could be exploited.
• Cardio Questions: Finishing early is his hallmark, but late-round endurance against a veteran like Tybura is uncharted territory.

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Matchup Outlook: Tybura enters with a veteran’s mix of striking and grappling savvy, while Delija brings raw power and wrestling acumen. The key question: Can Delija impose his explosive style before Tybura’s experience and conditioning take over? This clash of seasoned technique versus youthful aggression promises a compelling contest on the Paris prelims.

Betting Odds & Line Movement

Current Odds Overview

As the Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija bout approaches, Marcin Tybura has settled in as the favorite across major sportsbooks, while Ante Delija remains the underdog:

• Marcin Tybura (Favorite)

  • Caesars: –135
  • BetMGM & DraftKings: –135
  • BetOnline.ag & BetUS: –120
  • BetRivers: –137

• Ante Delija (Underdog)

  • Caesars: +115
  • DraftKings: +114
  • BetMGM & BetRivers: +110
  • BetOnline.ag & BetUS: +100

The widest gap is visible at Caesars, where backing Delija (+115) nets a higher payout than grabbing Delija at +100 with BetOnline.ag. Conversely, the softest line on the favorite is –120 at BetOnline.ag and BetUS, offering the best value for Tybura bettors.

Best Sportsbook Picks:

• Underdog Sharpshooters: Caesars’ +115 on Delija
• Favorite Value: BetOnline.ag’s –120 on Tybura

Line Movement History

Tracking the line movement reveals notable swings, particularly on the underdog side:

• Ante Delija

  • Opened at +125 (BetOnline.ag on Aug. 20)
  • Drifted to +110 by Aug. 23
  • Brief peak back to +120 on Aug. 24
  • Crashed to +100 on Aug. 25

  Total swing: 25 points from +125 down to +100 at BetOnline.ag.

• Marcin Tybura

  • Opened at –145 (BetOnline.ag on Aug. 20)
  • Climbed to –135 by Aug. 23
  • Softest line at –120 on Aug. 25

  Total swing: 25 points from –145 to –120, indicating a late influx of money on Tybura.

Analysis:

• The sharper movement on Delija (25-point drop) suggests heavy early money on the favorite or skepticism about Delija’s UFC translation.
• Tybura’s line firming up from –145 to –120 reflects confidence in his veteran savvy and recent wins, attracting both sharp and recreational action.

Potential Payouts & Implied Probabilities

If you placed a $1,000 wager today, here’s what you’d see at the best available lines:

• Betting on Marcin Tybura (–120 at BetOnline.ag):

  • Profit: $833.33
  • Total Return: $1,833.33
  • Implied Win Probability: 57%

• Betting on Ante Delija (+115 at Caesars):

  • Profit: $1,150
  • Total Return: $2,150
  • Implied Win Probability: 47%

These figures highlight the risk/reward trade-off: backing the underdog Delija offers a higher upside payout, while Tybura’s shorter line reflects a stronger market confidence and a higher implied chance of victory.

Whether you lean toward the seasoned consistency of Tybura or the explosive upside of Delija, understanding the odds movement and best lines is crucial for maximizing your UFC betting edge.