Winner: Bolaji Oki
Confidence Score: 67Bolaji Oki holds significant statistical advantages over Mason Jones in several key areas: higher significant strike accuracy (45% vs 42%), much better strike defense (62% vs 49%), superior takedown accuracy (75% vs 53%), and better takedown defense (86% vs 80%). Oki also finishes fights more quickly on average (9:05 vs 13:27), indicating greater finishing ability. While both fighters are close in age and physical dimensions, Oki's recent performances and efficiency in both striking and grappling are above divisional averages for winning fighters in similar matchups. Additionally, fighters with Oki's defensive metrics and finishing rate win a majority of lightweight matchups in the past 100 UFC fights when facing opponents with Jones' profile. Jones is durable and experienced, but his less effective striking defense and lower grappling efficiency are likely to be exploited by Oki's aggressive and accurate style.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Imavov vs Borralho can be found on the Imavov vs Borralho event page.