Winner: Sam Hughes
Confidence Score: 70Sam Hughes is the more proven UFC-level fighter, with a significant edge in grappling and defensive metrics. She has a much higher takedown accuracy (32% vs 0%) and better takedown defense (60% vs 43%), which is crucial since her opponent, Shauna Bannon, has shown susceptibility to takedowns and has not landed one in the UFC. Hughes also has a better significant strike defense (59% vs 44%), indicating she absorbs fewer clean shots. While Bannon is a bit younger and has a slight reach advantage, Hughes' recent wins over solid competition (including Jaqueline Amorim and Viktoriia Dudakova) and her ability to go the distance against higher-level opponents give her the edge. Historically, fighters with Hughes' style, experience, and defensive stats have outperformed less-tested, lower-output strikers in this division.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Imavov vs Borralho can be found on the Imavov vs Borralho event page.