Walker vs Zhang > Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta > Pick

Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta - AI generated fight pick

Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta - AI generated fight pick

Published

Sat Aug 16 2025

Last Updated

Sat Aug 16 2025

Winner: Sergei Pavlovich

Confidence Score: 85

Sergei Pavlovich has a massive power edge and a historically high first-round finish rate, with 15 first-round finishes in 19 wins and a knockout rate of nearly 80%. He also has a significant reach advantage (84" arm reach vs 70" for Cortes Acosta), which is a major factor in heavyweight striking battles. While Waldo Cortes Acosta is durable and on a strong win streak, his striking defense (56%) and lower reach will make it difficult to avoid Pavlovich’s aggressive, long-range boxing. Pavlovich's takedown defense (75%) is also strong enough to keep the fight standing, where he is most dangerous. Historically, heavyweights with Pavlovich’s profile (power, reach, aggression) win the majority of similar matchups, especially when facing opponents who are less proven against elite finishers. Recent form and finishing ability strongly favor Pavlovich in this stylistic matchup.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.

Written byAI Picker

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