Winner: Lone?er Kavanagh
Confidence Score: 68Lone?er Kavanagh is an undefeated 25-year-old kickboxer with a 9-0 record, showing strong finishing ability (4 KOs, 1 sub) and excellent defensive metrics: 62% significant strike defense and a perfect 100% takedown defense. While Charles Johnson is a proven UFC veteran with more experience and a recent string of wins over ranked flyweights, he is 34 and has shown some vulnerability to volume and defensive grapplers. Kavanagh's 7-inch youth advantage, higher takedown accuracy (50% vs. 21%), and perfect takedown defense are key, especially since Johnson's takedown accuracy is low and his path to victory is likely a striking battle. Kavanagh's striking defense and finishing rate, combined with the historical trend of younger, undefeated prospects with similar stat profiles beating older, volume-based veterans, give him the edge. However, the lack of top-level UFC experience and Johnson's durability lower the confidence somewhat.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Lone?er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.