Winner: Sumudaerji
Confidence Score: 78Sumudaerji has a significant edge in striking metrics, with a 51% significant strike accuracy and 60% defense, compared to Borjas' 45% accuracy and 51% defense. He also has a notable reach advantage (4 inches in arm reach and 2.5 inches in leg reach), which historically correlates with higher striking success in the flyweight division. Sumudaerji's finishing rate is much higher, with 13 KO wins and 11 first-round finishes, indicating more dangerous power and explosiveness. Both fighters lack submission wins, so this is likely to stay standing, where Sumudaerji's output and accuracy should outpace Borjas. Additionally, Sumudaerji has faced a higher level of competition and has better takedown defense (68% vs. 65%), making it difficult for Borjas to change levels if he gets behind on the feet. While Borjas is tough and has a puncher's chance, the stylistic and statistical edges clearly favor Sumudaerji.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.